Full Scoop Coverage: Budget 2011
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RELATED LINKS:
For the full text (when released) of the budget see...
TREASURY BUDGET 2011 WEBSITE
See also the BEEHIVE BUDGET PAGE
For previous budgets see...
BUDGET 2010 - BUDGET 2009 - BUDGET 2008 - BUDGET 2007 - BUDGET 2007 - BUDGET 2006 - BUDGET 2005 - BUDGET 2004 - BUDGET 2003 - BUDGET 2002 - BUDGET 2001 & BUDGET 2000
BUDGET 2011 - SCOOP COMMENTARY
Sludge Report #194: Bill's Magic Deficit Elimination Budget
Analysis - By Scoop Co-Editor Alastair Thompson - Now You See It - Now You Don't! This year (the year ending next month) the NZ Government will borrowing a cool net $20 billion. But next year it plans to borrow a net $5.9 billion (albeit a gross $13.5 billion the majority of which will be used to re-finance existing debt).
This seems on its face remarkable, and is certainly news to warm the hearts of the hard nosed credit ratings gnomes upon whose judgment we will collectively wait following this year's budget. (At the time of publishing the demand for NZ bonds had increased as a result of the budget and Standard and Poors had announced no change to NZ's rating.)
To use the figure which Dr Brash (and formerly Bill English) is so fond of referring to - and which we will no doubt hear a great deal over coming days - the borrowing requirements of the Government are forecast to fall from $380 million a week to just $113 million a week.
Next year the fiscal deficit is expected to fall from close to 9% of GDP to under 5%.
And in a year in which we are expecting relatively modest growth of just 1.8%. More>>
Gordon Campbell: On The Budget 2011 - And Petrobras
While Deficit Phobia provides the rationale for the austerity and privatisation measures contained in this year's Budget, the government's stance is a curiously passive one, overall. The largely self-inflicted problems with the revenue base are being treated as essentially self correcting.
Yes, there is a new payroll tax thinly disguised as an 'increased employer contribution' to Kiwisaver. Yet active policies to generate revenue and to stimulate export growth remain very few and far between. In the meantime, any hopes for improvement in unemployment - forecast optimistically to fall to 4.8 % in a couple of years - are being pinned entirely on the rebuild of Christchurch. Essentially, the revenue side of the equation has been set on autopilot. More>>
BusinessDesk: Budget 2011: Reasons To Be Cheerful?
Analysis - By Pattrick Smellie: (BusinessDesk) - Every Budget is a guess at the future. Accordingly, every Budget requires the reader to ask: what do I need to believe? In this year's Budget, the biggest question marks are over growth rates, the expectation of a weakening exchange rate, and a larger-than-usual difference between the Treasury and the Inland Revenue Department forecasts for tax revenue.
If the IRD is right, the tax take in the year to March 2015 will be $1.5 billion lower than the forecasts used for the Budget, slightly more than the $1.3 billion fiscal surplus forecast for that year. On that simple analysis, Finance Minister Bill English's "healthy, meaningful" surplus is already at risk. More>>
ALSO:
.David Farrar - Budget Notes - Kiwiblog Parliament Today - Budget Day In Parliament With Tom Frewen (audio) The Standard - So where's the plan? - The Standard TUMEKE!: - This budget is an epic fail! - Bomber Bradbury Public Address - Budget 2011: A Credible Path to a Point in Time - OnPoint - Public Address Keith Ng Budget Visualisation - Radioactive Donut in Friggin' Space Pundit.co.nz Out-Link - The Standard & Poor's Budget Scoop Business - Budget 2011: Fiscal drag is coming back Scoop Business - Budget 2011: NZ bonds, dollar gain as surpluses loom Scoop Business - Fitch leaves NZ credit rating outlook at negative Scoop Business - KiwiSaver cuts may erode business profits, drag on wages BusinessDesk - Budget 2011: NZ back in surplus by 2015 BusinessDesk - NZ govt reins in borrowing after $20 bln splurge BusinessDesk - Meridian Energy offers biggest gain in $7 bln govt sell-down BusinessDesk - IRD looks at tighter tax rules on livestock values, assets
- TV3 Video - John Key speaks to Campbell Live about Budget 2011 - English on the Budget - Budget "a bridge to broken dreams" - Labour - Families will find it tougher after Working for Families changes - KiwiSavers unhappy with budget changes - Govt slashes $700M with pre-election Budget - Budget promises job creation, but where? - Experts say KiwiSavers should still be happy - Duncan Garner on the Budget - Business and the Budget - SOE changes 'a good move' - Deloitte - Campbell Live caravan: 2011 budget edition
BUDGET 2011 - THE REACTION - FULL COVERAGE
BUDGET DEBATE SPEECHES - AS PREPARED
Parliamentary Reaction:
National
Labour
- Scoop Audio - Phil Goff Stand-Up - Critiques The Budget
- Labour - Budget 2011: Zero ideas, zero leadership
- Labour - Bleak Budget offers no plan and no hope
- ParliamentToday.co.nz - Budget Statement: Phil Goff - Audio And Summary
Progressive Party
- Progressive - Budget Day 2011 speech - Jim Anderton
Greens
- Greens - Budget 2011 lacks courage on revenue
- ParliamentToday.co.nz - Budget Statement: Russel Norman - Audio And Summary
The Maori Party
- Maori Party - Dr Pita Sharples, Maori Party Co-Leader: Budget Speech
- Maori Party - Tariana Turia Speech on 2011 Budget
- Maori Party - New funding sees Whanau Ora go nationwide
- Maori Party - Maori Party secures $620m plus for Maori
- Maori Party - Maori Party invests $100m+ in Maori children
- Maori Party - Budget 2011: Frequently Asked Questions
ACT
- ACT - Budget 2011 A Missed Opportunity - Hon John Boscawen
- ParliamentToday.co.nz - Budget Statement: John Boscawen - Audio And Summary
United Future
- United Future - Peter Dunne: Tight, responsible Budget for tough times
Non Parliamentary Political Reaction:
- NZ First - "Sedative" Budget Before Major Surgery - Peters
- Auckland Council Business Advisory Panel - Budget positive outlook will boost confidence
- Campaign For MMP - Extra funding for MMP referendum education welcomed
- Progressive Coalition Party - National Presides Over Dying Economy
- Comvoices - Budget Needed to Help Close the Gap
- The Kiwi Party - Kiwi Party Response to the Budget
Health Sector Reaction:
- NZMA - NZMA welcomes budget focus on health
- Aged Care Association - Increased Funding For Dementia Care
- NZ Plunket Society - Plunket comments on Budget
- Medicines NZ - Medicines New Zealand Welcomes Extra Medicines Investment
- Early Childhood Council - Budget 2011 a relief for ECE centres
Education Sector Reaction:
- NZEI - Sugar-coated education budget with a rotten core
- UCOL - UCOL concerned about limits on loans to older students
- Association of University Staff - TEU Tertiary Update Vol 14 No 17
- NZUSA - Budget 2011- bad for students, worse for women
- Tertiary Education Union - Tertiary education savaged in budget
- SANITI - Trainee Pilots Disadvantaged in Budget 2011
- Universities NZ - Te Pokai Tara - Universitiesâ Reaction to Budget 2011
- Science NZ - Government Budget Shows Faith in New-Look CRIs
- NZCA - Budget creates two tier early childhood education system
Union Reaction:
- NZ Council of Trade Unions - Government out of touch with New Zealand families
- CTU - Zero Stimulus Budget
- PPTA - Ops grant cut sidelines students
- PSA - Double Downer Budget Won't Build a Better Future
- NZ Nurses Organisation - No highlights in today's Budget
- EPMU - Budget does nothing for working families
- NZ Kindergartens - Investment in Early Childhood Education Critical
Finance Sector Reaction:
- KPMG - Sometimes Boring Is Good For You
- KPMG - Christchurch Rebuild Is Key To Return To Surplus
- Chapman Tripp - Budget 2011: focused, but far-sighted?
- Deloitte - Budget 2011 - Are we keeping pace?
- KPMG - Mixed Ownership Model for SoEs a Necessary and Bold Step
- KPMG - Keeping the Squeeze on Government Expenditure
- HSBC Bank - Tight Budget May Do Some of RBNZ's Work, Says HSBC
- Deloitte - "Boring" fiscal conservatism takes a deserved front seat
- NZICA - Budget 2011: Stark contrast but no surprises
- Mercer - Mercer gives Budget pass mark
- Deloitte - Partial state asset privatisation a step in right direction
- Employers And Manufacturers Association - A Budget to save NZ's credit rating
Other Business Sector Reaction:
- CPA Australia - Budget 2011/2012 strikes the necessary chord
- SuperLife Limited - Budget heralds next round of changes to KiwiSaver
- ISI - KiwiSaver still the best long term savings option for most
- Federated Farmers - Budget 2011 'Boring in a Positive Way'
- Science Media Centre - Budget 2011: The science sector responds
- BEST Pacific Education - Investment in training for BEST Pacific Institute
Other Reaction
- NZ Council of Christian Social Services - Budget 2011 - Cementing the Inequalities
- The Office Of Ethnic Affairs - Managing diversity reaps financial reward
- Age Concern - Budget answers some senior needs
- UNICEF NZ - Economic Model Fails to Invest for our Future
- Salvation Army - Budget offers few obvious benefits to low-income Kiwis
- Greenpeace NZ - Budget Deals Another Blow To Clean Energy Race
- Relationship Services - RSW welcomes Government funding for NGO sector
- Coalition for Social Justice - Budget proposals and implications for ordinary Kiwis
- Randstad - Randstad Calls for Investment in Skills
- Stephen Berry - Bill English Invents New Sedative
BUDGET 2011 - THE PRESS KIT
(Note see also pre-budget announcements below)
The Budget SpeechNZ Govt - Budget 2011 - Building Our Future ParliamentToday.co.nz - Budget Statement: Bill English - Audio And Summary
Coalition Leaders' Statements
SUMMARY SHEETS
Economy
- NZ Govt - Government to pursue mixed ownership model
- NZ Govt - Budget builds growth platform, path to surplus
- NZ Govt - Extra funding will help Kiwis into work
- NZ Govt - Budget takes steps to lift savings, investment
- NZ Govt - More support in Budget 2011 for business R&D
- NZ Govt - Budget frees up $5.2b for higher priorities
- NZ Govt - Investors benefit from new market regulations
- NZ Govt - New thin capitalisation rules for foreign banks
- NZ Govt - Budget funding will continue SmartGate success
- NZ Govt - $119.3m of tax compliance funding pays off
- NZ Govt - Budget proposals to make tax system fairer
Education
- NZ Govt - Student loans - better value for taxpayers
- NZ Govt - Extra $550m to improve families' access to ECE
- NZ Govt - Freeing up $980m to improve frontline services
- NZ Govt - $1.4b extra for schools, ECE in Budget 2011
- NZ Govt - Govt infrastructure investment picks up speed
Welfare
- NZ Govt - Changes to better target Working for Families
- NZ Govt - Extra funding will help Kiwis into work
Health
- NZ Govt - $2.2b extra to boost public health services
- NZ Govt - Patients to benefit from more medicines funding
- NZ Govt - $68m for more elective surgery operations
- NZ Govt - $12m boost to reduce rheumatic fever
Housing
Law, Order & Security
- NZ Govt - $8.3m for fight against serious fraud
- NZ Govt - Extra $157m to help make communities safer
Research, Growth And Innovation Framework
Art, Culture And Sport
Trade and Foreign Affairs
Christchurch Earthquake Recovery
- NZ Govt - Budget funds new earthquake recovery authority
- NZ Govt - Budget funds new earthquake recovery authority
- NZ Govt - $5.5b for Canterbury Recovery Fund
- NZ Govt - $10m Budget support for Canterbury families
Other Stuff - Maori, State Sector, Local Govt
- NZ Govt - Budget 2011 commits to rail turnaround
- NZ Govt - Supporting Maori educational achievement
- NZ Govt - Budget maintains momentum for Maori Affairs
- Maori Party - $12m to fight rheumatic fever among tamariki
- NZ Govt - Maori Party secures $620m plus for Maori
BUDGET 2011 - PRE-BUDGET ANNOUNCEMENTS
Budget 2011: Canterbury trades training boost PM Pre-Budget Speech: Fujitsu - Business NZ Luncheon PM: Budget 2011 will be responsible, affordable Budget to rein in deficit, set path to surplus - English Budget 2011: ACC turnaround delivers taxpayer savings Budget to rein in deficit, set path to surplus - English Budget 2011: Lifting investment in irrigation Budget 2011: New fresh water clean-up fund A fresh start for fresh water Power: Working with Sexual Violence Symposium More support for victims of sexual violence, serious crime Budget 2011: $54.5m extra for mothers, babies Carter: Address to Annual Fonterra Network Conference Budget 2011: Helping young people into jobs Budget will map credible path back to surplus Room for savings in state sector back office English:Wellington Employers' Chamber of Commerce Govt to spend $8.5b on rebuilding Christchurch Simon Power Speech to Coalition of Community Law Centres Speech: Tolley - Principals' Federation conference Speech to the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs Quake, guarantee scheme reflected in accounts Govt committed to improving frontline services Surplus remains in sight, focus on reducing debt New agency to trim local body borrowing costs
BUDGET 2011 PREVIEWS & REACTION
Economy Analysis: Debt Crises In Context Keith Rankin writes: Much in the economic world seems paradoxical. Certainly people and governments around the world are under pressure to, simultaneously, both spend more and save more. Yet we don't feel under pressure to lend more, even though "lending" and "saving" mean essentially the same thing! In a global financial balance sheet, the amount of lending is exactly equal to the amount of borrowing, in the same way that the number of brides is exactly equal to the number of bridegrooms... More>>
Gordon Campbell: On The Lead-Up To The Budget
Throughout his government's first term, the role of Prime Minister John Key has been to be the bringer of good news, the guy who carries the 'times are tough but the future is rosy' message - while Finance Minister Bill English has been the bad news bearer, underlining the need to tighten our belts, for eternity. More>>
ALSO:
Scoop Audio - 95bFM: Selwyn Manning & Mikela's Pre-Budget Analysis 5AA Australia - Selwyn Manning & Peter Godfrey On Obama's Invite To John Key + Budget Business Scoop - NZ Dollar Holds Ground Ahead Of Budget 2011 TV3 Video - What we can expect from the Budget Greens - Green Party: Alternative Budget Initiatives Audio Auckland Action Against Poverty - "Race to the Bottom" to open Key's post-Budget speech Hone Harawira - Budget Speech ACT - Key: 'Nothing' Hardcore About Youth Wage - Hon John Boscawen Labour - Importing workforce not the answer iPredict - $7.8 billion deficit forecast for 2011/12 Scoop Business - Budget 2011 'screams responsibility', Key says Scoop Audio - PM's Presser Audio 16/5/11: Budget Scoop Audio - Phil Goff On Fiji/Tonga & National's Budget Labour - David Cunliffe's Pre-Budget Speech - Owning Out Future - Kiwis lose confidence in National's economic management - David Cunliffe Pre-Budget Speech Greens - Polluter subsidies blow hole in Budget - Unlawful student loan changes in Budget? - Govt can address debt, economic transformation this Budget TVNZ - Transcript: Phil Goff interviewed on TV ONE's Breakfast Q+A Transcript - Minor Parties' Budget Debate Horizon Research - Kiwis enter Budget week feeling country on wrong track NZ First - Winston Peters Speech To Counties Manukau Grey Power AGM Public Service Association - Sub-zero budget highlights - PM's Ducking and Diving Can't Hide Lack of Economic Plan CTU - Government funding cuts lead to cuts to Health and Safety - At least $564m more needed for Health to just stand still - CTU releases a vision for a constructive Budget NZEI - Budget must treat education as an investment not a cost Manufacturers and Exporters Association - Budget needs focus on generating revenue TVNZ - John Key interviewed on TVNZ's Breakfast - Mon 16th May Wellington Special Olympics - Celebrity Debate This Thursday Offers Budget alternative iPredict - iPredict Launches Stocks on Budget 2011 Fiscal Outlook David Choat - Capital and Coast DHB needs more funding not further cuts Tax Justice Campaign - Tax Justice welcomes the active support of unions Pundit.co.nz Out-Link - It's the end of the world, and I feel fine Scoop Audio - Selwyn Manning On Winter's Arrival & National's 3rd Budget Radio Wammo - Green Party's Russell Norman On His Alt Budget TV3 Video - Govt shows 'lack of vision' - Greens - Further KiwiSaver tinkering possible in future - Government will chase student loans - Key - Investor confidence falls after quake
PM's Presser Audio 16/5/11: Budget Teaser
At his post-cabinet press conference PM John Key said the budget "screams responsibility" and has achieved no increase in nominal spending More>>
ALSO:
Labour - Phil Goff Presser 16/5/11: Tonga v Fiji, Nats v Kiwisaver TV3 Video - Fiji and Tonga 'can sort it out' - expert
Backhanded Insults: On Don Brash's Letter To PM John Key
"Dear John, It was with a very heavy heart that I felt obliged to resign my membership of the National Party and to seek the leadership of the ACT Party." More>>
ALSO:
Don Brash - Letter to John Key TV3 Video - Brash to Key: Dear John... The Dim-Post Out-Link - Brash's secret letter Pundit.co.nz Out-Link - Dear Don - An Open Letter
PM's Pre-Budget Speech: Changes To Kiwisaver, Working For Families
Prime Minister John Key today said Budget 2011 will be responsible and measured, and ensure expensive programmes like KiwiSaver, Working for Families and interest-free student loans are affordable into the future. More>>
ALSO:
NZ Govt - PM Pre-Budget Speech: Fujitsu - Business NZ Luncheon Labour - National fiddles while the country burns - Cuts will hurt Kiwis but won't fix broken economy Scoop Business - Budget 2011 - Key makes KiwiSaver changes an election issue - Comment: Key's slow route to retirement at 70 Greens - Vulnerable to shoulder costs of poor economic management NZUSA - Short-sighted funding cuts cap nation's potential The Nation - The Nation Budget Preview: Baby Boomers and the Budget NZ Council of Trade Unions - Budget needs a vision for jobs, not a focus on the deficit PSA - KiwiSaver changes to slash millions from essential services Employers And Manufacturers Association - Employers fine with changes foreshadowed for Kiwisaver TV3 Video - Key will campaign on KiwiSaver changes - Goff expects broken KiwiSaver promises - KiwiSaver remains 'financially viable' - MCA - Changes to KiwiSaver, Working for Families, student loans likely Scoop Audio - 5AA Australia: Manning & Godfrey's NZ Issues Bulletin
Health: $54.5m Extra For Mothers, Babies
"This Government has invested an extra $1.2 billion in health services over the past two years, and Budget 2011 will provide an extra $33.2 million for maternity services over four years to improve safety and quality. More>>
ALSO:
Labour - Where is the maternity money coming from? NZ Medical Association - NZMA welcomes extra maternity care funding NZ Nurses Organisation - Extra funding for maternity services â but where from?
Scoop Business: English Says Budget To Show Large Deficit
Finance Minister Bill English says the Budget next week will confirm a 'very large deficit' including the immediate costs of rebuilding Christchurch after its two earthquakes. More>>
ALSO:
Scoop Business - Govt cash deficit hits $12.4 bln in March on quake costs NZ Govt - Budget to rein in deficit, set path to surplus - English - Budget 2011: ACC turnaround delivers taxpayer savings NZ Treasury - Financial Statements for the Nine Months ended 31 Mar 2011 TV3 Video - Budget will trim popular Govt programmes - Key
Gordon Campbell: On The Govt's Latest Handout To Agri-Business
The largesse will include a $35 million "accelerated investment" fund over the next five years, rising to a possible $400 million fund for irrigation scheme investment by the government where taxpayers would be excluded - but of course ! - from owning or accessing the commercial benefits from the investment they will have so generously seeded. More>>
ALSO:
Scoop Business - Budget 2011: Govt brings irrigation schemes to market Scoop Audio - PM's Presser Audio 9/5/11: Water, Paint & Piggybanks NZ Govt - Next steps on water reform NZ Govt - Budget 2011 - New Fresh Water Clean-Up fund NZ Govt - A Fresh Start For Fresh Water NZ Govt - Budget 2011 - Lifting Investment In Irrigation Greens - BBC questions NZ's "100% Pure" brand - Minister pulls teeth from clean water rules Forest and Bird - Policy Wont Stop Pollution Environmental Defence Society - Freshwater Announcements Need To Go Further Federated Farmers - Water Marks NZ As The Real Lucky Country - Farmers express hopes for NPS on freshwater management Greenpeace NZ - Government subsiding costly damming project Irrigation NZ - IrrigationNZ welcomes support for irrigation development Greater Wellington Regional Council - Greater Wellington welcomes irrigation commitment Waikato Regional Council - Waikato Regional Council welcomes water policy NZ Freshwater Sciences Society - Science Society Concerned About Freshwater NPS
Justice System: More Support For Victims Of Sexual Violence, Serious Crime
Justice Minister Simon Power today announced more support for victims of sexual violence and serious crime at the Working with Sexual Violence Symposium in Auckland. More>>
ALSO:
NZ Govt - Road victims' families to benefit from Offender Levy - Power: Working with Sexual Violence Symposium Victim Support - New Victim Grants A Great Response Candor Trust - Initial Road Homicide Aid Praised
Budget Preview: "Helping Young People Into Jobs"
The Government is investing $55.2 million to get young people into jobs, Social Development and Employment Minister Paula Bennett says. More>>
ALSO:
Labour - Bennett and Key mislead NZ with youth training announcement NZCTU - Young People and Jobs - More Needed Master Plumbers - Government investment in young people welcomed Gordon Campbell - Werewolf 21: Failure to Launch
Gas: This Year's Fuel Tax Increase Cancelled
The planned fuel tax increase of 1.5 cents per litre which was due to come into effect on 1 July has been deferred while economic conditions remain tight, says Transport Minister Steven Joyce.
More>>
Price Tag: Govt To Spend $8.5b On Rebuilding Christchurch
The Government will spend about $8.5 billion over the next few years to help the rebuilding of Christchurch, Finance Minister Bill English said today. More>>
ALSO:
Parliament Today - Earthquake Legislation Passes First Reading - Canterbury Earthquake Recovery Bill Now On-Line - Earthquake Recovery Authority Bill And Urgency NZ Govt - State of national emergency extended further - English: Wellington Employers' Chamber of Commerce - Dunne: further Christchurch tax relief on depreciation Greens - Greens support power for Christchurch not Brownlee Future Canterbury Network - FCN welcomes Government commitment GNS Science - Gravity Survey Included In Christchurch Subsurface Study TV3 Video - Cathedral Square time capsules to be opened today - ChCh marae becomes courthouse Scoop Full Coverage - Christchurch Earthquake 22/2/11
Back Office Savings: Treasury Fingers ICT Costs
The government's best opportunities for back-office savings lie in improving its complex and divergent information and communications technology services, where savings of up to $236 million a year are available, according to The Treasury. More>>
ALSO:
Scoop Business - Tough choices need to made over superannuation: Treasury NZ Govt - Room for savings in state sector back office PSA - PSA supports quest for greater public sector efficiency - Minister needs to come clean on merger plans for CRIs