The following image was taken at 15.30 UTC on September 1 (approx. 3.30am this morning NZT). It shows Hurricane Frances bearing down on the Bahamas. The latest hurricane advisory and commentary follows the images. At present the forecast path for the Category 4 hurricane remains tracking towards Daytona Beach.

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NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT1+shtml/012047.shtml?
000
WTNT31
KNHC 012047
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRANCES
ADVISORY NUMBER 32
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
MIAMI FL
5 PM AST WED SEP 01 2004
...FRANCES
LASHING THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...HEADING FOR
THE
SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTHEAST AND CENTRAL
BAHAMAS AND FOR
THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS.
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IS IN EFFECT THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS.
A
HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24
HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION. A
HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT
HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH
AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.
AT 5 PM
AST...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE NORTH
COAST
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE
ISSUED FOR PORTIONS OF THE FLORIDA
EAST COAST
TONIGHT.
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE
FRANCES WAS LOCATED BY
SATELLITE AND A RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 22.0 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST OR
ABOUT 35 MILES...55 KM...NORTH OF GRAND
TURK ISLAND AND
ABOUT 650 MILES...1050 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE
FLORIDA
EAST COAST.
FRANCES IS MOVING TOWARD THE
WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH...24 KM/HR.
A GRADUAL TURN TO
THE NORTHWEST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED
ARE
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS
TRACK...THE CORE OF THE
HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING NEAR OR
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
TONIGHT AND THURSDAY.
FRANCES REMAINS A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE SCALE WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS OF NEAR 140 MPH...220
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE EXPECTED
DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80
MILES...130 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 185 MILES...295 KM.
REPORTS FROM HAM RADIO OPERATORS INDICATE
THAT GRAND TURK
ISLAND HAS BEEN EXPERIENCING 60 TO 75 MPH...96 TO
120
KM/HR...WINDS DURING THE PAST HOUR AND SOME DAMAGE TO TREES
AND
ROOFS.
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE JUST
ESTIMATED BY A RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WAS 938 MB...27.70
INCHES. THIS PRESSSURE WAS REPORTED AFTER
THE
FORECAST/ADVISORY PRODUCT WAS SENT.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5
TO 10 INCHES...LOCALLY HIGHER...ARE POSSIBLE
IN
ASSOCIATION WITH FRANCES.
COASTAL STORM SURGE FLOODING OF
10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE
LEVELS...ALONG WITH
LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...CAN BE
EXPECTED IN
THE BAHAMAS NEAR THE EYE OF FRANCES.
REPEATING THE 5
PM AST POSITION...22.0 N... 71.0 W.
MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 15 MPH. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS...140
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...
938 MB.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR
AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL
WEATHER OFFICE.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM AST
FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
AST.
FORECASTER AVILA
$$