Scoop has an Ethical Paywall
Poll Clash: TVNZ Say National, TV3 Say Labour
Poll Clash - TVNZ says its National – TV3 says its Labour
By Alastair Thompson
*** NEWSFLASH ***
TV polls released this evening at 6pm on the two major TV networks signal two different outcomes for the election on Saturday. TV3/TNS says its Labour in the lead, TVNZ/Colmar Brunton says its National.
TV3's TNS
poll has Labour ahead by 2 points and able to form a
government without Winston's assistance if necessary with
the support of the Greens, The Progressive Party and the
Maori Party. Labour could also form a Government with the
support of its current partners the Greens, The Progressives
and United Future.
See full details here:
Pollwatch:
TV3/TNS Lab. 40.5% National 38.7%
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0509/S00238.htm
TVNZ's
Colmar Brunton Poll on the other hand has National ahead by
six points.
See full details here:
Poll
Watch: TV One Colmar Brunton - Nat 43, Lab 37
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0509/S00239.htm
In the TVNZ poll National would require the support of Winston Peters' NZ First to form a government as the support of United Future and ACT (should Rodney Hide win Epsom) would not be enough.
NZ First's Winston Peters has said he will support the party with the most seats, therefore in theory the TVNZ poll would lead to a National Government.
However, as the parsing of Winston Peters statements
remains a hot subject among political commentators and
scientists, the actual result that would come from a result
as suggested by the TVNZ poll is possibly not quite as clear
as it seems. (For an explanation from Winston on his
position see… Getting
Things Crystal On Coalitions With Winston
http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL0509/S00210.htm
)
Bottom line:
The election remains too close to call.
ENDS
Alastair Thompson
Scoop Publisher
Alastair Thompson is the co-founder of Scoop. He is of Scottish and Irish extraction and from Wellington, New Zealand. Alastair has 24 years experience in the media, at the Dominion, National Business Review, North & South magazine, Straight Furrow newspaper and online since 1997. He is the winner of several journalism awards for business and investigative work.
Richard S. Ehrlich: Trump's Victory, Authoritarians & Trade Warriors
Ian Powell: New Zealand’s Shameful Modern Slavery Shutdown
Gordon Campbell: On The Hikoi Arrival, And Tyler Childers
Alastair Thompson: COP29 Erasure Story Update – All's Well That Ends Well
Binoy Kampmark: Thank You For Emitting - The Hypocrisies Of COP29
Alastair Thompson: COP29 Erasure – COP29 Media Center Crippled