Budget day/deception day
Budget day/deception day
Next
Thursday is Budget Day when Steven Joyce will seek to Trump
Bill English in smoke and mirrors.
A credible Budget will
have three features.
First, it will provide an honest accounting of how the New Zealand economy and government finances are really doing.
Second, it will explain how there is a surplus after addressing all the reasonable demands that need money spent on them.
Third, it will set out a pathway that will deliver real prosperity and security for all New Zealanders.
By those standards this Thursday’s budget will be an abject failure!
The chasm between rhetoric and reality in our economy will be as clear as day.
Underneath the hype and misinformation will be a “fake” Budget that delivers little that is meaningful for ordinary New Zealanders.
There will be the usual political parcels fluffed up to look substantial, as though they will make a difference.
But will they survive scrutiny?
Let’s start by putting a few facts on the table. Including the inconvenient facts that don’t fit the “everything is rosy” spin.
1. Nearly 5% or 130,000 New Zealanders were officially without a job.
2. The government’s boast of GDP growth of 3% is bogus - the bulk of that is from a 2% annual population growth
3. New Zealand’s productivity is low – well below better performing OECD countries and way behind Australia.
4. The economy is fundamentally unbalanced. National has done nothing to address the chronic balance of payments deficit which is $7 billion.
5. New Zealand remains massively indebted to the rest of world – with a net international liability of $156 billion.
6. The relentless
flogging off of New Zealand goes on. According to the
Overseas Investment Office 466,000 hectares of land was sold
to offshore buyers in 2016 - five times more than the
previous year.
Let’s turn to tax cuts – a seductive
notion.
The government has been teasing the public with the prospect of tax cuts through many of its previous Budgets.
The public is fed on a diet of “some day, one day” tax cuts will happen.
But being election year just dangling possible cuts is not enough.
This year they have to deliver something – or face a total loss of credibility.
No one wants to pay more tax than necessary – and with many struggling even a few dollars will seem appealing.
But the public is entitled to honest answers on what the true costs of any tax cut is.
We know that the so-called surplus, which is the pretext
for a tax cut, is “a creature of creative
accounting”.
The Government will tout its Budget
surplus.
This is supposed to be the real barometer of
prudent public finance.
Remember what we said, the
government will have to explain how there is a surplus after
addressing all the reasonable demands that need money spent
on them
If this Thursday’s Budget does not do that then
claims of a surplus will be without credibility,
plausibility or integrity.
Some may be taken in but not
people who think about what the Government is really up
to.
Read the news, day in, day out, year in, year out, of
critical areas lacking funding.
You all know there is
deliberate under funding of many public services, including
health, education and police.
We could recite a very long
list that includes children in overcrowded schools being
taught in corridors and sick people waiting years for the
specialist medical treatment they urgently
need.
Hospitals around the country are struggling to cope
with an influx of patients – with DHBs in serious deficit
– in Whangarei a Northland man waited six days, all day
every day, to have a broken ankle attended to.
Almost on
a weekly basis doctors and health professionals are warning
of health services on the edge of collapse.
These
conditions are a direct result of government conjuring up a
surplus irrespective of the cost inflicted on society and
the environment.
There are many other issues and areas where the funding deficit is doing serious damage, for example;
• Poverty
• Mental health services
• Conservation
• Housing
To say nothing of stopping contributions into the NZ Super Fund to assist with the future costs of retirement.
If the government was paying into the NZ Super Fund there would be no surplus – and how come commentators can’t get that simple fact?
Honest Government
Record net immigration at almost 72,000 per year will render the numbers in this Thursday’s Budget meaningless.
Budgets that take no account of rapid population growth are next to useless.
Any government can get “growth” by mass immigration.
Question: Why stop at net almost 72,000 new immigrants a year?
Why not net 170,000 a year?
Or further yet why not 270,000?
Think of it – then the government could boast that NZ has the highest economic growth rate in the world.
All three scenarios are ridiculous.
But this government will not come clean – and adjust
its Budget numbers to growth per capita, that is, GDP growth
per person.
National remains addicted to a reckless and irresponsible immigration policy.
And this Budget won’t address that.
Mind you, isn’t it
amazing how all of a sudden so many politicians and
observers have discovered we have an immigration
problem?
Housing Affordability
But National, rather than address it, continues with an absurd open door immigration policy and offshore buying to further fuel this crisis.
Until immigration is drastically reduced any claims that politicians are serious about the housing crisis is just hot air – babble to conceal their real agenda.
We’ll be releasing our housing policy for this election very shortly. It is realistic, based on the needs of New Zealanders now and into the near future. It will be accompanied by a construction programme and financing provisions to make these policies real.
Unlike the rest, we are going to build houses for people not the “market”.
Foreign
Ownership
There will be
nothing in this Budget to stop the wholesale sell-off of New
Zealand land, businesses, houses and property to overseas
ownership.
This government won’t collect data on the true extent of the losses. New Zealand First will.
We will turn the Overseas Investment Office from a toothless poodle into an effective watchdog with real teeth.
Savings
There will be nothing in this Budget to boost
our savings and reduce our dependence on overseas
borrowing.
Four Australian-owned banks dominate our banking sector.
These banks remit billions of profits, dividends and other payments each year creating an enormous drain on our economy and the balance of payments.
But where is our government on this? As usual AWOL - missing in action.
They are totally happy with 95% of the NZ banking system being held overseas. It fits perfectly with their “flog it off” agenda.
Given that NZ is already in net debt to the rest of the world to the tune of $156 billion it is long since time for action on this front.
New Zealand First will start by putting every central and local government account with KiwiBank.
Conservation
Funding must match the task it faces.
Conservation must be for conservation’s sake not just for tourism’s sake.
New Zealand has among the highest proportion of threatened or endangered species – we are talking well over 2000 species on that list.
Again, when you look at conservation underfunding you see how deceitful claims of a surplus are.
Endangered species in New Zealand will be sacrificed just so National can cook the books a bit longer.
If
the conservation estate – New Zealand’s treasure – is
to be properly protected funding must be seriously
increased.
Climate
Change
The government’s track record on taking steps to reduce carbon emissions can be summed up in one word.
Disgraceful!
As the rest of the world moves forward and begins to tackle the great challenge of our time what has been happening in NZ?
NZ is going backwards.
Wellington is scrapping its trolley buses – a sustainable, low carbon form of public transport and replacing them with diesel buses spewing noxious emissions into the city’s streets.
KiwiRail is scrapping its electric locomotives on the North Island Main Trunk Line and replacing them with diesels.
These are staggeringly retrograde steps but they typify this government’s total failure in the area of climate change.
Alfred Ngaro
National has become arrogant and dismissive in
the way they ply their politics.
We should be all
grateful that last weekend a National MP exposed the true
nature of his party.
He said to people getting taxpayer
funding, you bag us on the campaign trail and watch out,
there won’t be money on the table.
He named some of his
culprits.
The Salvation Army wasn’t playing ball by
raising homelessness.
Willie Jackson had better look out
if he wanted more money for his schools.
And beware the
media - he accused John Campbell of making up stories of
the homeless, as though people holed up in cars had been
stage managed.
Alfred Ngaro MP was just telling the
truth.
There are numerous examples.
Health Minister
Coleman calling critics of his mental health policy a bunch
of Lefties.
Conservation Minister Barry bad mouthing
critics of DOC underfunding.
Pike
River
A contractor drilling holes at Pike River
was gagged by his contract.
He was instructed to report
to Solid Energy if anyone, particularly the media,
approached him for information.
That’s how the disaster
of 29 men dying is being
handled.
Kaikoura
My team went to
Kaikoura 11 days ago because of complaints of slow progress
on the roads.
The NZTA then had the gall to call up the
helicopter firm and ask them who hired the aircraft.
What
business is it of theirs?
They are a government appointed
body but where is their independence?
St
John
This week we emailed St John to ask about
new crewing proposals from government funding.
They
wanted to know what the information was for, and copied
their email reply to the Health Ministry.
This is just
like the social housing providers. They were told if they
had any media approach they must refer it back to the
Ministry.
That’s a government starting to behave like
the Mafia.
These are bullying tactics.
Shane
Reti
In the Northland by-election two years ago
Whangarei MP Shane Reti phoned a resident and told her to
stop complaining about a dusty road or any funds would dry
up. Unfortunately for him she recorded the threat.
Paul Bennett
When two solo mums
complained about cuts to training incentives Minister Paula
Bennett ignored privacy laws by revealing how much those two
received in welfare payments and generated a public
backlash.
That’s vindictiveness at its worst.
Paula
Bennett got her BA through such an allowance. She gets
political power and she scraps the
allowance.
John Key
When the Human
Right Commission criticised John Key increasing spy powers,
he put the frighteners on them - he threatened to cut their
funding.
David Seymour
Then there’s
Act Party’s David Seymour, the MP in Parliament who got in
on the coattails of National. He’s a bully too, a small
one.
Mr Seymour not only visited a school to deter a
manager from complaining in writing about policy, he went to
his house.
He told him not to put his complaints in
writing.
Community Law
In 2014 the
Community Law Centre suspected its government funding was
withdrawn because it spoke out about legal reform.
This
followed other community groups saying they were being
muzzled by fears that speaking out against government
policies would result in losing funding.
All these Mafia
like, standover tactics belong to another world, or a movie
script, not New Zealand.
This is not Hollywood. These
Ministers are carried away with their sense of
importance.
These are just some examples of the Born to
Rule Blue Brigade.
This is the party that has made a
thousand cuts to community organisations – Women’s
Refuge, Barnados, Presbyterian Support, Relationship
Aotearoa, and a $13m cut to Adult Community Education in
2009, to name a
few.
AUDITOR-GENERAL
This week we called for Auditor-General Martin
Matthews to be stood down.
Why?
For five years as CEO of the Ministry of Transport he oversaw the work of Joanne Harrison. She is now in jail for stealing $725,000 from the taxpayer.
He conveniently announced his departure from the MOT when charges were being laid against Harrison.
He moved on to a top job as Auditor-General.
His decision making and poor judgement over Harrison’s actions do not make him suitable to fill the role
As CEO for the MOT he had ignored eight warnings from staff that Harrison was a fraudster – she was inventing companies and giving them contracts.
Three of the whistle-blowers lost their jobs during “change” at the Ministry, which Harrison was heavily involved in.
Harrison got her husband a job, and a
friend a job.
Mr Matthews knew this friend was paid but
never turned up to work.
He failed to investigate,
otherwise he would have followed the dots to Harrison’s
deception.
Mr Matthews knew the Australian police were looking for Harrison, two years before she was charged, but did nothing.
Worse, just months before Harrison was charged, we can reveal that Mr Matthews appointed her to run an investigation at the Department of Conservation.
This involved “harassment” issues. So, a fraudster decided on the future of workers at DOC
That report must be now discredited.
Parliament was not told of her lead in the DOC inquiry when it ticked off his appointment as Auditor-General.
Second, we can also reveal his failure to take seriously potential public safety issues involving seven KiwiRail Bridges constructed with prohibited bolts, prone to fatigue and cracking.
It also involves one bridge that was made in China.
Mr Matthews was aware that prohibited bolts were being used.
He took little interest.
These bridges could be a time bomb, we just don’t know when.
Again, that vital attention to detail and being a stickler for accuracy, is what you would expect from the Auditor-General yet here we have two examples that fall well short of that.
Mr Matthews must be stood down pending investigations.
Conclusion
NZ First does have a
comprehensive set of policies to grow the economy in a way
that will deliver decent jobs for Kiwis
And that is what NZ First will campaign on all the way to September 23.
NZ First will give New Zealanders a real choice in the 2017 election.
ENDS