Mâori TV TNS Poll – Tamaki Makaurau Electorate
MEDIA RELEASE
30 AUGUST 2005
Mâori Television TNS Poll – Tamaki Makaurau Electorate
Mâori Television is currently conducting a second election opinion poll of the Mâori electorates. Today Mâori Television is releasing the results of its poll of the Tamaki Makaurau electorate. This electorate poll was conducted from 17-28 August 2005 by TNS Research Ltd.
Tomorrow (31 August 2005) Mâori Television will release the results for the Tainui electorate, followed by the Ikaroa Rawhiti electorate on Thursday (1 September 2005). These two polls were conducted during the same period, ie 17-28 August 2005.
Polls of the remaining electorates – Te Tai Tokerau, Te Tai Hauauru, Waiariki and Te Tai Tonga – will be conducted over the next two weeks. Mâori Television will release those results as they become available. All poll results will be announced on Mâori Television’s news programme, Te Kâea, and via embargoed media release.
Results for the Tamaki Makaurau electorate follow:
Preferred Party
If an election was held yesterday, which political party would you have voted for?
Preferred Party Tamaki Makaurau
%
(% of
those who stated a preference)
Labour Party 55
Mâori
Party 25
New Zealand First 6
National Party 5
Green
Party 4
Destiny New Zealand 3
Act New
Zealand 1
Other 1
Base 299
Don’t know/
none 15
Base 350
Preferred Electorate Candidate
If an election was held yesterday, which of the following Mâori electorate candidates would you have voted for?
Preferred Electorate Candidate - Tamaki
Makaurau
% of those who stated a preference
%
Pita
Sharples (Mâori Party) 49
John Tamihere (Labour
Party) 43
Tauwehe Hemahema-Tamati (Destiny New
Zealand) 3
Sam Rerekura 3
Eugene Opai (Direct
Democracy) 0
Other 2
Base 321
Don’t
know/none 8
Base 350
Changed Vote?
In the last four weeks, have you changed your mind about the way you will vote?
Changed Vote Tamaki
Makaurau
%
Yes 23
No 73
Don’t
know 3
Base 350
Main Reason for Changing Vote in Last Four Weeks
What is the MAIN reason you have changed your vote in the last 4 weeks?
Main reason for changing
vote Tamaki Makaurau
%
Policies or issues
(general) 18
Tax policy 7
Student loans 12
The new
Mâori Party 7
Was previously undecided 4
Campaign
advertising 5
Watching/listening to the debate 6
Mâori
issues 2
Labour Party policies 2
Do not want National
Party 6
Other 13
Don’t know 7
Base (have decided to
change vote in last 4 weeks) 82
Preferred Prime Minister
Of all political leaders in New Zealand, who would you most prefer to be Prime Minister?
Preferred
Prime Minister Tamaki Makaurau
%
Helen Clark (Labour
Party) 53
Winston Peters (New Zealand First
Party) 12
Tariana Turia (Mâori Party) 6
Pita Sharples
(Mâori Party) 4
Don Brash (National Party) 2
Richard
Lewis (Destiny New Zealand) 2
John Tamihere (Labour
Party) 3
Jim Anderton (Jim Anderton’s
Progressive) 1
Jeanette Fitzsimons (Green
Party) 1
Peter Dunne (United Future New
Zealand) 1
Other 1
None 5
Don’t
Know 10
Base 350
Research Methodology
Date poll was conducted
Interviews were conducted over the period 17 August to 28 August 2005
Sample Size in
each electorate
350 voter eligible Mâori aged 18+
(enrolled on the Mâori Electoral Roll)
Sampling
Technique
Telephone Interviews. Random selection of
telephone numbers (tele-matched from Mâori Electoral Roll)
with quota sampling to ensure representative cross section
by age and sex within each electorate.
Sample
Coverage
Tamaki Makaurau
Sample Error
Maximum
of 5.2% expressed at a 95% confidence
level
ENDS