TNS Poll – Te Tai Tokerau Electorate
6 September 2005
Mâori Television TNS Poll – Te Tai Tokerau Electorate
Mâori Television is currently conducting a second election opinion poll of the Mâori electorates. Today Mâori Television is releasing the results of its poll of the Te Tai Tokerau electorate. This electorate poll was conducted from 29 August to 5 September 2005 by TNS Research Ltd.
Tomorrow (7 September 2005) Mâori Television will release the results for the Te Tai Hauauru electorate, followed by the results for Waiariki and Te Tai Tonga next week.
Results of polls for Tamaki Makaurau, Tainui and Ikaroa Rawhiti were announced last week. All poll results are being announced on Mâori Television’s news programme, Te Kâea (7.30pm, repeated at 11pm), and via embargoed media release.
Results for the Te Tai Tokerau electorate follow:
Preferred Party
If an election was held yesterday, which political party would you have voted for?
Te Tai Tokerau
**********
% (of those
who stated a preference)
Labour Party 41
Mâori
Party 33
New Zealand First 10
National
Party 5
Green Party 5
Destiny New Zealand 3
United
Future 0
Other 3
Base 312
Don’t know/
none 11
Base 350
ENDS
Preferred Electorate Candidate
If an election was held yesterday, which of the following Mâori electorate candidates would you have voted for?
Te Tai Tokerau
% (of those who
stated a preference)
%
Dover Samuels (Labour
Party) 30
Hone Harawira (Mâori Party) 49
Ernest Morton
(Destiny New Zealand) 5
Mere Mangu
(Independent) 7
Judy Daniels (Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis
Party) 2
Hana Maxwell
(Independent) 2
Other 5
Base 318
Don’t
know/none 9
Base 350
Changed Vote?
In the last four weeks, have you changed your mind about the way you will vote?
Te Tai
Tokerau**
%
Yes 28
No 70
Don’t
know 2
Base 350
Main Reason for Changing Vote in Last
Four Weeks
What is the MAIN reason you have changed your vote in the last 4 weeks?
Main reason for changing
vote Te Tai Tokerau ***
%
Policies or issues
(general) 15
Tax policy 7
Student loans 1
The new
Mâori Party 4
Was previously undecided 5
Campaign
advertising 0
Watching/listening to the debate 2
Mâori
issues 3
Labour Party policies 3
Do not want National
Party 10
Other 32
Don’t want to waste vote 5
Don’t
know 10
Base (have decided to change vote in last 4
weeks) 97
Preferred Prime Minister
Of all political leaders in New Zealand, who would you most prefer to be Prime Minister?
Te Tai Tokerau *****
%
Helen Clark
(Labour Party) 52
Winston Peters (New Zealand First
Party) 19
Tariana Turia (Mâori Party) 8
Pita Sharples
(Mâori Party) 3
Don Brash (National Party) 3
Richard
Lewis (Destiny New Zealand) 1
Jim Anderton (Jim
Anderton’s Progressive) 1
Jeanette Fitzsimons (Green
Party) 1
Hone Harawira (Mâori Party) 2
Other
2
None 3
Don’t Know 5
Base 350
Research Methodology
Date poll was conducted
Interviews were conducted over the period 29 August to 5 September 2005
Sample Size in each electorate
350 voter
eligible Mâori aged 18+ (enrolled on the Mâori Electoral
Roll)
Sampling Technique
Telephone Interviews. Random
selection of telephone numbers (tele-matched from Mâori
Electoral Roll) with quota sampling to ensure representative
cross section by age and sex within each electorate.
Sample Coverage
Te Tai
Tokerau