Parker takes control of Christchurch Mayoralty as Anderton fades

iPredict has been tracking developments in the Christchurch mayoralty over the past 10 days following the disaster on the morning of 4 September. It has been a tumultuous few days for both the primary mayoral candidates. Bob Parker is now a strong favourite to win re-election.

You can follow the Christchurch mayoralty at MAYOR.PARKER and MAYOR.ANDERTON contracts, or via this link which delivers a live chart of the Christchurch race, or via our blog. To learn more about embedding iPredict charts, click here.

Latest Mayoralty Results - Other Cities In Wellington, Kerry Prendergast is a 93% favourite to be re-elected, her main challenger Celia Wade-Brown is at 6%

In Auckland, Len Brown is 60% likely to win over Auckland Mayor John Banks on 40%. Andrew Williams is 0.01% likely to win.

In Hamilton: Bob Simcock is 97% likely to be re-elected

In Dunedin, Peter Chin is 94% likely to be returned

In Invercargill, Tim Shadbolt is a 95% chance to be re-elected

Other Results In the upcoming Mana by-election, Kris Faafoi is 88% likely to be selected by the Labour Party as their Mana candidate, over Josie Pagani on 11%. Labour is 94% likely to win the by-election.

This Thursday, the Reserve Bank is 97% likely to make no change to the OCR.

MMP is 76% likely to be retained at next year's referendum.

Mortgage rates are likely to reach 6.50% this year but unlikely to go as high as 6.75%.

Rob Pope is 40% likely to be named the next Police Commissioner, with Viv Rickard at 15%. However, iPredict traders give a 45% likelihood that neither Pope or Rickard will be appointed.

In November's Congressional elections, the Democrats are picked to retain control of the Senate but lose control of the House of Representatives.

There is a 28% likelihood that Israel will launch an air strike against Iran before the end of next year.

New Contracts launching from 9:00am tomorrow Lots of new contracts launching on Wednesday morning:

• Whale vs. Williams: Who will win more votes in the Albany ward in the upcoming local election - Andrew Williams or Cameron Slater? And will they both end up being voted in to sit together in the Albany ward?
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• OCR anouncements for 28 October and 9 December
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• Petrol: our ever-popular unleaded petrol price contracts for October, November and December
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• RBA cash rate: October, November and December
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