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SMC Heads-Up to 27 October: MeNZB, warming confirmed, Rena

SMC Heads-Up to 27 October: MeNZB revisited, warming confirmed, Rena's king tide

Issue 155 October 21- 27


Scientists: MeNZB delay cost lives
Research led by Professor Diana Lennon, head of Clinical Paediatrics, School of Medicine, at Auckland University, claims a delay in creating and using a vaccine against the killer disease menigococcal B caused unnecessary and potentially avoidable deaths.

"Many more cases and deaths might have been prevented if action had been progressed earlier on in the epidemic cycle," the researchers said this week in a paper: Reducing Inequalities with Vaccine: New Zealand's MeNZB Vaccine Initiative to Control an Epidemic."The weight of this failure to act fell on the disadvantaged of the population".

Prof Lennon told the SMC that the problems included a lack of leadership, a lack of knowledge, and lack of training, and a mindset that New Zealand was a developed nation that could move on from placing a priority on infectious diseases. She pointed to the potential for advances to be made in current problems, such as pneumonia in small children -- where improving housing can reduce hospitalisations -- and measles.

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Meningococcal C on the national schedule?

Dr Nikki Turner, Immunisation Advisory Centre director and Senior Lecturer, General Practice and Primary Health Care at Auckland University -- who was not involved in the MeNZB immunisation programme -- noted that a technical advisory group which she chairs is actively considering whether a meningococcal C vaccine should be included on the national immunisation schedule.

She said it was clear that the MeNZB campaign against serotype B would likely have been more effective if the vaccine had been delivered to New Zealand children earlier than 2004, when the epidemic had begun to naturally wane. But she also said: "The fact that we managed to get a tailor-made vaccine to the New Zealand market is also a remarkable achievement for New Zealand as a small country with relatively limited resources and expertise" Both doctors agreed a lasting benefit from the outbreak was the creation of the National Immunisation Register.

Since July 2011, a dozen people have fallen sick in the Northland since July with meningococcal disease, eight of them with the C serotype, and another dozen in Wellington, with a total of five known deaths.

Earth's surface really getting warmer
When hackers released emails from climate change researchers a couple of years ago, sceptics mounted a "Climategate" campaign claiming scientists were manipulating temperature records to substantiate global warming measurements.

Several independent inquiries showed the allegations of doctored data were untrue. Now US-based scientists have provided a new analysis of temperature measurements showing that there is no reason to believe that long term global average temperature trends might have been overestimated by other researchers.
The paper is expected to upset some of those sceptics who had hoped that a new analysis of temperature records might have shown that previous analyses were either wrong or could not be confirmed, said Professor Martin Manning of Victoria University's Climate Change Research Institute.

"Ironically it will also come under scrutiny from many of the climate scientists who have been working in this area for several decades and have been thinking about the quality of temperature records from different perspectives," he added.
BEST efforts

Research from the Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature
(BEST) project -- released today but yet to be peer reviewed -- analysed temperatures from 15 databases and canvassed scientific concerns raised by climate sceptics, including the urban heat island effect (UHI), temperature station quality and the risk of data selection bias. That debate over reliability of temperature records even reached New Zealand, where NIWA announced in July 2010 that it was defending a statement of claim in the High Court by the New Zealand Climate Science Education Trust, which sought a judicial review of some of NIWA's actions relating to the analysis of long-term temperature trends.

The Berkeley Earth Surface Temperature (BEST) project was created to make the best possible estimate of global temperature change using over 1.6 billion existing temperature measurements from over 39,000 sites, with 16,132 of these being definitely outside urban areas.

The SMC sought comment from New Zealand climate scientists on the draft paper, and those can be read here

On the science radar

Seeing through walls, bowel cancer bacteria, self-building robots, adaptable microchips, interstellar travel and quantum levitation.


King tides could affect Rena outcome
If the wrecked hull of the MV Rena hangs together for another week or so, knowing the timing and height of tides at Astrolabe Reef may prove will be critical to continuing efforts to salvage it.

An astronomical coincidence -- a new moon and the moon approaching its closest point to the Earth -- on October 27 is expected to bring king tides to the wreck of the MV Rena on Astrolabe Reef two or three days later. These big tides will be 2.2 metres above the lowest local tide, and will lift the high water mark 40cm above the level when the container ship hit the reef at about 30kmh during the October 5 grounding.

The king tides or perigean-spring tides peak every 7 months, a few days after a new or full moon coincides with the moon being closest to the Earth (or at perigee), in its monthly orbit.

National Institute of Water and Atmospheric Research (NIWA) Principal Scientist Dr Rob Bell said:

"Unfortunately, the Rena struck the reef soon after high tide around 1.8 m above the local lowest-tide datum. This means that there are more limited opportunities for re-floating the vessel than if the grounding happened at low tide. A new moon and the moon's perigee occur together on October 27, with the highest tide ranges two to three days later. This astronomical coincidence provides the year's best window of opportunity for re-floating the Rena".

The SMC has release 10 round-ups quoting scientists on aspects of the Rena situation. See our Rena resource page on the SMC site for all the details.
Quoted: New Zealand Listener

"You can say, 'We don't need to see you anymore. Go have a normal life. Forget you were ever here. Forget you ever went through that trauma. Go and be a normal child with your family.'"

- Prof Jane Harding, on paediatric care

New from the SMC

Experts respond:

No patents for stem cell tech: Europe's highest court has made a landmark ruling preventing the patenting of diagnostic or therapeutic techniques that use stem cells . Experts respond, lamenting the decision and it's impact on investment.

Rena deterioration: The stricken container ship Rena is being hit with heavy swells, hampering efforts to remove oil, and may break up. The SMC quizzed international engineering experts on the forces at play.

MeNZB retrospective: In the midst of a rising wave of menigincoccal c infections, a research paper has been published examining the 2004 MeNZB vaccination intiaitive The article states that delays in the vaccination programme "cost lives". The SMC put questions to an independent expert and one of the authors.
Reflections on science:

Antarctic fishing slips under the radar: An editorial in this week's Waikato Times highlights the issue of commercial fisheries in the Antarctic.
In the news:

Earthquake commission hears from scientists: Scientists spoke this week at the first of many hearings held by the Royal Commission of Inquiry into the Canterbury Earthquakes. See a full roundup of the latest media coverage.


Sciblogs highlights

Some of the highlights from this week's posts:

Milk milk everywhere but not a drop to drink - Kiwis are drinking less milk but making more of it. In a guest post, Professor Jack Heinemann from the University of Canterbury examines the international economics of the white stuff.
Guest work

Public perceptions of NZ's freshwater management - Daniel Collins breaks down the details in a new report on public perception and the environment from Lincoln University
Waiology

Too much of a good thing? Can you take too many vitamins and supplements? Using recent and historical studies, nutritionist Amanda Johnson tackles the question.
Food Stuff

The Legitimate Risks of Vaccines - In pursuit of balance, Darcy Cowan notes that there are some risks associated with vaccines that must be acknowledged.
Scepticon

Not a pretty picture: recent science summarised - Bryan Walker comprehensively captures the latest climate research presented in a new review - and it doesn't look good.
Hot Topic


Research highlights

Please note: hyperlinks point, where possible, to the relevant abstract or paper.

Manuka oil eyed as weedkiller: Research into natural herbicides useful for organic agriculture has shown that essential oil distilled from manuka worked well on post-emergent broadleaf and grass weeds -- when applied in combination with a commercial lemongrass oil-based herbicide -- and also demonstrated interesting pre-emergence activity, controlling large crabgrass seedlings.
Weed Science

Seaweed vs coral: Previous research has hinted at link between increased seaweeds and loss of corals, but the mechanism responsible for the declines remained unclear. Now, in a Fiji field study, marine scientists have shown several species of seaweed, through direct contact, suppress coral photosynthesis and cause the corals to bleach -- two indicators of unhealthy coral. Further analysis of seaweed extracts pinpointed several chemicals as the culprits.
Proceeding of the National Academy of Sciences

Lowland forests go-slow: New research from a 44-year study of French forests showed lowland forests are slow to adapt to climate change. Shifts in the distribution of plant species lag behind annual temperature increases, and in lowland forest they lag three times more than in highland areas. This inertia of plant communities in lowland forests indicates that more attention should be given to these ecosystems.
Nature

Smoking as a result of early life stress: Early childhood adversity increases the likelihood of developing nicotine addiction in later life, according to a new study. The work suggests that this adversity may have a different effect on women and men, especially in the presence of a certain genetic alteration. Researchers found that self-reported childhood trauma increased the risk for chronic smoking, and women were twice as likely to be affected by it as men - although men carrying a certain genetic alteration were highly sensitive to the effects of childhood adversity on smoking.
Neurospsychopharmacology

Facebook on the brain: Do you have hundreds of friends on facebook? It could be reflected in your grey matter. Parts of the brain involved in social perception and memory are larger in individuals with more facebook friends, according to the results of a new brain scanning MRI study. Researchers found that the size of several brain regions was linked with the number of 'friend' connections an individual has on their facebook account. The nature of the study did not allow the researchers to determine if building a large social network led to an increase in the size of these brain regions, or vice versa.
Proceedings of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences

Plastic fantastic: A biodegradable plastic that's produced in bacteria and doesn't rely on fossil fuels has been grown relatively cheaply in algae, a study reports. Researcher were able to insert bacterial genes to algae cells which then produced poly-3-hydroxybutyrate (PHB), a biodegradable plastic sometimes used in the medical industry for sutures. Earlier attempts to produce PHB on a large scale have been unsuccessful due to cost.
Microbial Cell Factories

Swearing on screen leads to violence: While it's been long established that watching violent scenes increases aggression levels, a new study suggests that profanity in the media may have a similar effect. The carefully balanced research indicated there was a causal effect between exposure to swearing, swearing oneself and outright aggression among a sample of school students. The authors noted that their results support film and video game ratings based on language, stating: ""Profanity is kind of like a stepping stone ... it can start a downward slide toward more aggressive behaviour."
Pediatrics


Policy updates

Some of the highlights of this week's policy news:

Alcohol and drug funding boost - A $10 million investment package has been added to the approximate $120 million spent on specialist alcohol and drug treatment services each year. The package is designed to assist thousands of people with alcohol and drug related issues of all severities.

MoH and WHO back fluoridation - Following the New Plymouth district council decision to discontinue fluoridation, both the Ministry of Health and the World Health Organization have expressed disappointment and warned that tooth decay will increase.

Biometric data extended - Immigration New Zealand now has extended powers to store photos of all non-New Zealanders and to require fingerprints in some circumstances. The new powers, which expedite visa applications, are in alignment with international agreements to enable various agencies to share biometric data to help confirm identities
Submissions open on care - The Ministry of Health is consulting on the draft document, Guidance for Integrated Paediatric Palliative Care Services in New Zealand. Feedback and comments can be received electronically and will inform the implementation of the guidance.

Upcoming sci-tech events
Carbon Dioxide, Other Greenhouse Gases, and Related Measurement Techniques - 16th WMO/IAEA Meeting - 25-28 October, Wellington.
Venturing out of narrow seas - Brian Easton seminar on the history of New Zealand's economy for Stout Research Centre 'Research Roundup' seminar series - 26 October, Wellington.
Climate Change and the End of Exponential Growth - Public lecture from Pieter Tans (NOAA, USA) -26 October Wellington.
From the Bottom Up - Public lecture on enzymes, electricity and nanotechnology from Prof Alison Downard for Marie Curie lecture series - 26 October, Napier.
National Conference on Biological Farming Systems - 27-28 October, Rotorua.
Do the Egyptian Pyramids Provide a Clue? Seeking More Environmentally-Friendly Cements - Cafe Scientifique resented by Ken MacKenzie (MacDiarmid Institute) - 27 October, Lower Hutt.
Eyeing up Regenerative Medicine - Public lecture on stem cell eye treatments by Prof Trevor Sherwin - 27 October, Auckland.
Talking about sex at school - conversation and sexual development - Seminar from Brian King on his PhD research - 28 October, Wellington.
For these and more upcoming events, and more details about them, visit the SMC's Events Calendar.

ENDS

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