Budgeting On A ‘Best Guess’ Basis
Mon, Mar 12 2012
Local councils — not just in
Hawke’s Bay, but throughout NZ it appears — can’t
calculate.
Or more precisely, they’re hopelessly inept at doing the cost-benefit analysis on their major infrastructure projects. And as a result, ratepayers are always left holding the bag.
The latest evidence comes from Hamilton, where, as the Herald reported today, a new $72 million events centre is facing an operating deficit of $1.42 million in the current year. When interest, depreciation and maintenance is added, the facility is costing ratepayers $10 million per year … and will for many years to come. For Hamilton, this follows Waikato Stadium, which costs $3 million to keep open, and the V8 racing debacle.
Here in Hawke’s Bay, we seem to have no end to the infrastructure wish list, even as current facilities lose money regularly.
Splash Planet. Marineland. The Opera House. HB Museum & Art Gallery. Pettigrew-Green Arena. The Sports Park. All with operating deficits requiring ratepayer funding.
This is not to say
that one or another of these facilities isn’t meeting a
genuine community need and isn’t worthy of ratepayer
support. However, experience has shown that the extent of
required ratepayer funding has always been under-stated,
while the ‘economic benefits’ have always been
over-stated.
The net result: ratepayers holding a bigger
bag than they were told to expect.
Not long ago, HB Opera
House chairman John Buck informed the Hastings Council that
ratepayers would need to be asked to put an extra
$1.5 million into the facility over the next seven years. As
reported by the DomPost, Mr Buck stated that:
“…when the board took over its operation in January
2009, it did so ‘without fully realising the paucity of
financial and operating information available to it’ …
Forecasts had been based on a ‘best-guess basis’ and
‘to put this in simplistic terms, we did not know what it
cost us to open the doors’.”
That’s a remarkably
candid comment — one you’ll never hear an elected
councillor make — from a savvy businessman. But even John
Buck drank the Kool-Aid … what can we expect from
financially-impaired councillors?
They just keep adding
to the infrastructure wish list — television-ready hockey
field, aquatics centre, Marine Parade and Civic Square
redevelopments, Te Mata Peak Visitor Centre, a business park
or two … to say nothing of a dam that would cost hundreds
of millions, all in.
Recently I heard a presentation to the Regional Council on behalf of a television-ready hockey facility for the Sports Park by Mayor Yule, Park chief executive Jock Macintosh and entrepreneur Bruce Mactaggert. Super-booster Mactaggert was especially enthusiastic about the economic benefits he foresaw from the proposed facility.
Deja vu … I couldn’t help being reminded of the original predictions made by then-consultant-on-high Murray McCaw (or was it Sam Kelt) about the vast money-making potential of the sports park if it only had a gym sport facility (or was it a velodrome)?
Again, no
doubt one or another of these projects might prove entirely
worthy.
But as we enter the season of adopting
councils’ Long Terms Plans, a healthy dose of skepticism
is warranted when listening to the sales pitches of the
various applicants … especially when councils are touting
their own projects and promising a pot of gold at the end of
the rainbow.
Be assured:
Costs will be under-estimated.
Financial benefits will be over-projected.
It’s the
council way. Why? Because they never need to absorb losses
… they just pass them along to you.
Tom
Belford
ENDS