Scoop has an Ethical Paywall
Licence needed for work use Learn More

Local Govt | National News Video | Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Search

 

Palino closes on Brown in Auckland Mayoralty race - Poll

16 July 2013

Media release

Palino closes on Brown among definite voters in Auckland Mayoralty race

In a mostly two-way race for Auckland’s Mayoralty, there is a 12% gap between the main candidates, incumbent Len Brown and candidate John Palino.

Mr Brown has a comfortable lead on Mr Palino when Auckland voters are presented with a list of 10 names and the option to choose someone else or none of them (36.7% Brown, 6.8% Palino).

However, when presented with a contest between Brown, Palino, John Minto and “others”, those who say they are 100% likely to vote chose Brown 57.4% to Palino 42.6%.

Brown, Palino and Minto have confirmed they will nominate. Mr Brown formally launched his campaign last weekend. Mr Palino is due to formerly launch his this weekend.

The results from a Horizon Research June 13-21 poll of 1,106 adult Aucklanders indicates a tighter contest if the field of main centre-left and centre-right contenders narrows when nominations close at noon on August 12. Postal voting runs from September 20 to noon October 12.

Among people who say the likelihood of them voting is 100%, Palino benefits from significant transfers of support from those listed if they do not stand including former Commonwealth Bank CEO Sir Ralph Norris (67.4% going to Palino, 32.6% to Brown) and sitting councillor and former Mayor Christine Fletcher ( 67.3% to Palino, 32.7% Brown). If Minto were not standing, 75.2% of his support among definite voters would move to Brown, 24.8% to Palino.

Advertisement - scroll to continue reading

The poll was conducted between June 13 and 21. Results are weighed by age, gender, ethnicity, personal income and educational qualifications to provide a representative sample of the Auckland population aged 18+. At a 95% confidence level it has a maximum margin of error of +/- 2.9%.

Full results tables, for a list of 10 candidates should they stand and the narrower two main contender race, can be downloaded here at Horizon Research:

http://www.horizonpoll.co.nz/page/324/palino-closes-on-brown-among-definite-voters-in-auckland-mayoralty-race

Note for Editors:

The poll is part of public-interest research conducted by Horizon. The survey was not conducted for any other organisation or candidate.

ENDS

© Scoop Media

Advertisement - scroll to continue reading
 
 
 
Parliament Headlines | Politics Headlines | Regional Headlines

 
 
 
 
 
 
 

LATEST HEADLINES

  • PARLIAMENT
  • POLITICS
  • REGIONAL
 
 

Featured News Channels


 
 
 
 

Join Our Free Newsletter

Subscribe to Scoop’s 'The Catch Up' our free weekly newsletter sent to your inbox every Monday with stories from across our network.