New information shows reduced risk from natural hazards
Kaikoura District Council staff and geotechnical experts are talking to residents of properties affected by natural hazards to gather feedback before making final decisions for the future.
Council Chief Executive Angela Oosthuizen says staff have been working with Central Government and other agencies over past months following 2017 assessments of earthquake-related land damage and geotechnical hazards.
“New technical assessments informed by a reduction in the likelihood of earthquakes, and knowledge gained from recent severe weather events, have given us a new understanding of these hazards.”
The Council is this week (beginning 10 September 2018) meeting with owners of properties that have been issued s124 notices prohibiting entry due to geotechnical hazards.
“We need to discuss the updated information with property owners affected by natural hazards, talk about how that might affect them, and find out their preferences for the future. The Council will consider the information we gather from residents alongside funding matters when making decisions about the future.
“We know this has been a long process and that property owners – many facing insurance and financial challenges – want to understand their options. We have been working through the process as quickly as possible but, given the complexity of the issues, this has taken some time,” she says.
The new
information
New information indicates a reduced level of
risk from geotechnical hazards across the region. In
addition to information gathered from ongoing geotechnical
assessments, the change is largely due to two factors:
• GNS seismic hazard modelling shows
significantly reduced risk of another earthquake
A year
ago, GNS modelling predicted a 40 per cent probability in
the next year of another earthquake that would cause ground
shaking and small-scale rock fall and landslips on steep
slopes. That probability has now dropped to around 10 per
cent in Kaikoura – almost back to the level it was before
the earthquake.
• Severe weather events tested
properties where hazard notices were issued
Three
significant weather events have hit Kaikoura in recent
times, testing the stability of slopes in heavy rainfall.
The remnants of cyclones Debbie, Cook and Gita caused severe
rainfall and large slips across the region. However, no
significant further damage occurred to properties issued
with geotechnical hazard notices. Experts have used this
information as part of new
assessments.