Betting on likelihood of future events puts peoples’ money where their mouth is
By Peter Kerr for sticK
(sticK - 8 Dec. 2011 ) Some of the challenges of launching a new, useful and innovative internet based product are apparent in the iPredict.co.nz business.
Officially launched in 2008, just before that year’s general election, iPredict quantifies what are otherwise qualitative measures. Traders are betting on different predictions, allowing people to buy and sell stocks in future political and economic events. They are literally putting their money where their mouth is.
Put another way, the current market price (seen on
iPredict) can be interpreted as predictions of a probability
of an event.
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http://sticknz.net/2011/12/08/betting-on-likelihood-of-future-events-puts-peoples-money-where-their-mouth-is/
For sticK – science, technology, innovation & commercialisation KNOWLEDGE - is a new Wellington based news service concentrating on following the money from ideas to income. Contact editor Peter Kerr at peter.kerr055 @ gmail.com