Strong Finish for Real Estate Market In 2012

News Release 15 January 2013

Strong Finish for Real Estate Market In 2012

Summary

• New national median house price record of $389,000, up 9.6% on December 2011
• 74,000 houses sold during 2012, a 21% increase on 2011 and the highest annual total since 2007
• New record median house price for Canterbury/Westland
• Sales by auction grew by 68% during 2012, with sales by auction growing by 87% in Auckland and by one third across the rest of the country.

The national median house price reached a new record of $389,000 in December, up almost 10% on December 2011. Ongoing strong demand drove robust sales volume growth in the residential property market during 2012 with the number of sales up 21 per cent on 2011 and at the highest level since 2007.

The Chief Executive of the Real Estate Institute of New Zealand (REINZ), Helen O’Sullivan, says that despite the strong growth in sales volume, the number of sales compared to the total number of dwellings in New Zealand remains well below the long run average and substantially below the peak volume of 2003 when more than 120,000 residential properties were sold.

“ A new record median price and robust volume growth saw the New Zealand real estate market end 2012 on a strong note and positioned for those trends to continue into 2013. The key drivers in 2012 were the Auckland and Canterbury/Westland regions, which together make up over half the real estate activity in New Zealand, where supply constraints resulted in significant price gains that have not been achieved elsewhere. The strength of these two regions is starting to spill over into other parts of the country with Central Otago Lakes and Wellington both seeing more invigorated markets, particularly in terms of sales volumes. ”

“A key development during 2012 has been the growth in sales by auction, with the number of properties sold by auction growing by more than two-thirds compared to 2011. The growth in auction sales has been particularly strong in Auckland where almost two of every five sales are now by auction. The trend in auctions is evidence of the continued tightness of some parts of the residential real estate market where demand is increasing, but supply remains constrained.”

Sales Volumes
REINZ data shows there were 5,754 unconditional residential sales in December, an increase of 438 sales (+8.2%) compared with the same time last year and a fall of 22.8% compared to November 2012. On a seasonally adjusted basis December’s sales were about in line with November and 14.8% higher than December last year.

Eight regions recorded increases in sales volume compared to December last year, with Northland recording an increase of 37.2%, followed by Auckland with 18.7% and Central Otago Lakes with 18.4%. All regions recorded falls in sales volume in December compared to November – as is usual due to the short trading month - with Northland recording the shallowest fall of 8.8% followed by Nelson/Marlborough with a fall of 11.2% and Canterbury/Westland with a fall of 11.3%. Auckland and Canterbury/Westland together accounted for slightly more than half of all properties sold in December.

Prices
The national median house price increased by $5,750, from $383,250 in November, to a new record high of $389,000 in December, an increase of 1.5%. Canterbury/Westland’s median house price moved up 1.7% compared to November to a new record median price of $351,000, although Auckland’s median house price eased by $5,000 to $535,000. The national median house price is up 9.6% compared to December 2011, while the Auckland median price is up 10.5% compared to December in the previous year.

For the month of December, Nelson/Marlborough recorded the largest lift in prices for the month with an increase of 8.3%, followed by Central Otago Lakes 5.9%, and Taranaki with 5.4%. Compared to December 2011, Auckland recorded the highest lift in prices with an increase of 10.5%, followed by Canterbury/Westland with 8.0% and Northland with 6.3%.

The REINZ Stratified House Price Index, which adjusts for some of the variations in mix that can impact on the median price, is 6.7% higher than December 2011 and eased 0.6% compared to November. The Christchurch House Price Index set another new record high in December and is up almost 12% compared to December 2011.

Days To Sell
The national median days to sell improved by one day in December compared to November, from 33 to 32 days, with the number of days to sell also improving by three days compared to December 2011. For the month of December, and for the third straight month, Canterbury/Westland recorded the shortest days to sell at 28 days, followed by Auckland with 29 days and Wellington with 30 days (also for the third straight month). Northland recorded the longest number of days to sell at 60 days, followed by Waikato/Bay of Plenty with 52 days and Central Otago Lakes with 51 days. Over the past 10 years the median days to sell for the month of December has averaged 33 days across New Zealand.

Auctions
Nationally there were 1,102 dwellings sold by auction in December representing 19.2% of all sales, a slightly smaller proportion than the 20.7% sold by auction in November. For the 12 months to December the total number of auctions reached 11,950 or 16.1% of all sales, compared to 7,101 or 11.6% of all sales for the 12 months to December 2011. Over 2012 the number of Auctions grew by 68.3% with the rate of growth reaching 86.9% in the Auckland region and 33.2% for all other regions combined.

Transactions in Auckland again dominated the auction market in December, representing 73.6% of the national total of auction sales. 37.4% of all dwelling sales in Auckland were by this method in December; this was up strongly from the 24.5% of sales by auction in December 2011. Sales by auction in Waikato/Bay Of Plenty accounted for 7.9% of the national total, Canterbury/Westland accounted for 10.7% of the national total, and all other regions combined accounted for the remaining 7.8% of auction sales in December 2012.

Further Data
Across New Zealand the total value of residential sales, including sections was $2.73 billion in December, compared to $3.62 billion in November, and $2.32 billion in December 2011. For the 12 months ended December 2012 the total value of residential sales was $33.95 billion.

The breakdown of the value of properties sold in December 2012 is:

$1 million plus 263 4.6%
$600,000 to$999,999 921 16.0%
$400,000 to $599,999 1,586 27.6%
Under $400,000 2,984 51.9%
All Properties Sold 5,754 100.0%

REINZ Stratified Median Housing Price Index
The REINZ Housing Price Index eased 0.6% in December compared with November to sit at 3,522.7. The REINZ Housing Price Index recorded a new record high in Christchurch with all other areas seeing an easing in the Index levels. Auckland fell 3.0% in December and Wellington 2.8%. For the 12 months to December, the Christchurch Housing Price Index rose 11.8% and the Auckland House Price Index rose 8.6% compared to the National Housing Price Index increase of 6.7%.

REINZ_Residential_Market_Statistics__December_2012.pdf
REINZ_December_2012_Regional_Data.pdf

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