Scoop has an Ethical Paywall
ASB Cantometer Index Lifts as Labour Market Recovers Further
ASB Cantometer Index Lifts as Labour Market
Recovers Further
• Further lift in
Canterbury employment demand drives another increase in ASB
Cantometer.
• Outside of construction,
Canterbury recovery remains gradual.
The ASB Cantometer index lifted further over February, rising to 0.6 from 0.5. The lift follows labour market data, released in early February, which revealed an improvement in employment in the Canterbury region. In particular, hours worked recovered strongly over the December quarter, with this measure lifting from -1.4 to +0.1 within the Cantometer Index.
ASB Chief Economist Nick Tuffley says, “Labour market data has been very volatile over the past year. But generally, we’re seeing a pickup in construction employment and a gradual recovery in employment demand for the Canterbury region as a whole.”
The remaining sub-indices remained relatively steady over February. The construction index remains strong and continues to underpin the recovery in the Canterbury region. Nick Tuffley notes that, “We’re still yet to see meaningful improvement in the Miscellaneous category. So while we’ve seen spillover effects of construction to retailing, other areas have yet to benefit meaningfully.”
Outlook
“We expect Canterbury reconstruction activity to underpin the nationwide lift in residential construction over the coming year. However, for the time being, spillover effects from construction remain relatively confined to retailing,” says Mr Tuffley.
“In light of indications of less momentum in the wider economy and subdued inflation pressures we continue to expect the RBNZ will leave the OCR unchanged until March 2014,” concludes Mr Tuffley.
About the Cantometer
The Cantometer is designed to summarise activity in Canterbury. The study takes a range of publically available regional economic data, which is standardised and aggregated into a summary measure. The index has been rebased to zero in June 2010 (the end of the quarter immediately preceding the first earthquake) such that a positive number represents activity being above pre-earthquake levels.
Along with the aggregate Cantometer index, there are five sub categories: Construction, Housing, Employment, Consumer spending and Miscellaneous*. These sub-indices will provide some insight into which sectors are driving the rebuild activity at a given point in time.
For most activity the data reference the level of activity. However, when incorporating wages and house prices into the index we believe levels are less informative. Instead the index uses prices relative to the rest of the country. An increase in relative prices is a signal for resources to be reallocated to the Canterbury region.
The historical Cantometer series represented on the charts is a simple average of the complete set of data for each month.
*The miscellaneous category includes electricity, car registrations, guest nights and permanent and long-term net migration. A common factor driving these areas will be population growth, and we expect all these indicators to increase as the rebuild gathers momentum.
ENDS
ASB Bank
Helping you get one step ahead.
In 1847, ASB opened as the Auckland Savings Bank with the pledge: 'to serve the community; to grow and to help Kiwis grow'. And that is very much what ASB is about today.
ASB is a leading provider of integrated financial services in New Zealand including retail, business and rural banking, funds management and insurance.
ASB strives to consistently provide its customers with outstanding service and innovative financial solutions. They're dedicated to providing simple financial products that allow their customers to bank with them how and when they want.
We all have our own ways to measure progress, and our own stories about the things that matter to us. Whatever way you choose to measure progress, and whatever your goals, ASB is there to help you get one step ahead.
Antarctica New Zealand: International Team Launch Second Attempt To Drill Deep For Antarctic Climate Clues
Vegetables New Zealand: Asparagus Season In Full Flight: Get It While You Still Can 
Bill Bennett: Download Weekly - How would NZ telecoms cope with another cyclone
NZ On Air: Firm Audience Favourites Lead NZ On Air Non-Fiction Funding
Insurance and Financial Services Ombudsman: Woman Gets $40k More After Disputing Insurer’s Decision
BNZ: A Quarter Of Older NZers Fear Going Online Due To Scam Concerns
