The figures don’t stack up for reinstating the train line between Gisborne and Wairoa, KiwiRail boss Greg Miller says.
Gisborne District Council has identified the
line’s refurbishment as a shovel-ready project that, with
Crown funding, could bolster the economy in the wake of
Covid-19.
The council’s application to the
Government’s Infrastructure Industry Reference Group says
up to $23.3 million is needed for the project.
But
KiwiRail, which would be responsible for the work, believes
it could cost up to five times as much as that to reinstate
the mothballed track.
It also says there is no
guarantee of sufficient southbound freight to justify the
proposed multimillion-dollar investment.
“Our
view is it’s actually quite high risk to put this capital
in there when there’s no certainty on revenue,” Mr
Miller said.
He had provided that appraisal to the
Government, which he said had been “proactively” seeking
feedback from stakeholders in the line’s
restoration.
Mr Miller said KiwiRail was feeling
the pinch of reduced train services due to Covid-19 and
would be focused on building freight volumes on existing
lines.
“As a state-owned enterprise, we’ve got
to run a commercial business, and there are no subsidies for
the freight network.”
A feasibility study, led
by Berl economists and released late last year, found there
was enough freight out of Gisborne to justify running a
24-wagon train on the line to Napier each weekday, as well
as a daily 24-wagon log service, with each wagon carrying
the load of one truck.
Mr Miller said KiwiRail had
done its own research into potential freight volumes for the
line.
He was yet to be convinced there was enough
freight to justify the cost of restoring the line “at this
point”.
KiwiRail’s research would not be
published because there was a great deal of variability in
freight volumes from day to day, Mr Miller
said.
Storm damage led to the closure of the
railway between Gisborne and Napier in 2012, but the
Wairoa-Napier section of the track reopened last June,
thanks to $6.2m from the Provincial Growth
Fund.
Mr Miller said the coastal train line
between Gisborne and Wairoa presented more maintenance
challenges than the track between Wairoa and Napier, and
climate change was likely to exacerbate those
issues.
ENDS