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Roy Morgan Poll Feb 10: Nat 56.5% Lab 43.5%

New Zealand National-led Government (56.5%, down 1%)

Still leads over Opposition Parties (43.5%, up 1%)

[Roy Morgan Research] Morgan Poll


Finding No. 4470 - This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 893 electors from February 1-14, 2010. Of all electors surveyed, 4% (down 0.5%) did not name a party.: February 19, 2010


The latest Roy Morgan NZ Poll shows support for John Key’s National-led Government is down 1% to 56.5% comprising National Party 52% (unchanged), Maori Party 2.5% (down 0.5%), ACT NZ 1.5% (down 0.5%) and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).

Support for Opposition Parties is 43.5% (up 1%); Labour Party 33% (up 1%), Greens 8% (up 2%), NZ First 2% (down 1.5%) and Others 0.5% (unchanged).

If a National Election were held today the National Party would win easily.

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is 139 (down 12 points) with 64% (down 7%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 25% (up 5%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’

Gary Morgan says:

“Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government (56.5%, down 1%) retains a strong lead over the Labour-led Opposition Parties (43.5%, up 1%).

“Although support for Key’s National Party (52%, unchanged) remains strong — a worrying sign for the Government must be the slump in the number of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ — down 7% to 64%. This is the heaviest fall since John Key was elected Prime Minister in late 2008.

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“Also falling heavily is the February ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Index (123.6, down 7.8pts). Falls in confidence about family financial situations — now just 26% (down 5% since January) of New Zealanders say their family is ‘better off financially’ than a year ago indicate that recovery from the long recession is still continuing and restoring confidence must be a priority for Prime Minister Key and the Government.”

Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 893 electors from February 1-14, 2010. Of all electors surveyed, 4% (down 0.5%) did not name a party.


For full results, see http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2010/4470/

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