Roy Morgan Poll Oct 24 - Nov6: Nat 53% Lab 26%

Friday, 11 November 2011, 3:03 pm
Press Release: Roy Morgan Research

[Full results and report: 4719_NZ_Fed_Vote_Nov_2011.pdf]

NEW ZEALAND NATIONAL-LED GOVERNMENT’S WINNING LEAD DIPS AGAIN – 56% (DOWN 1.5%) CF. OPPOSITION PARTIES 44% (UP 1.5%) GREENS AT RECORD HIGH 12% (UP 2.5%)

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for Prime Minister John Key’s National-led Government has fallen to 56% (down 1.5%). Support for Key’s National Party is 53% (down 0.5%), ACT NZ 1% (unchanged), the Maori Party 2% (unchanged), and United Future 0% (down 1%).

Support for Opposition Parties is at 44% (up 1.5%) – Labour Party 26% (down 3.5%), Greens 12% (up 2.5%), New Zealand First 4.5% (up 2%), Mana Party 1% (up 0.5%) and Others 0.5% (unchanged). If a National Election were held today the National Party would easily be returned to Government.

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating has fallen 5.5 points to 131 – with 58.5% (down 2.5%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 27.5% (up 3%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction.’ Gary Morgan says: “Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows another slight drop in support for the National-led Government of John Key (56%, down 1.5%) but with the Government still holding an election winning lead over the Opposition Parties (44%, up 1.5%).

“Although National support has dropped to 53% (down 0.5%), the main beneficiary has not been the main Opposition Labour Party (26%, down 3.5%), but minor parties the Greens (12%, up 2.5%) and New Zealand First (4.5%, up 2%). This is the highest Greens vote ever recorded by the New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll and is significantly higher than the 6.72% the Greens polled at the 2008 New Zealand Election at which they won 9 seats."

Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?"

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide crosssection of 911 electors from October 24 – November 6, 2011. Of all electors surveyed 7% (up 0.5%) didn’t name a party.

[Full results and report: 4719_NZ_Fed_Vote_Nov_2011.pdf]

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