National (47.5%, up 2%) Increases Lead Over Labour

Wednesday, 25 July 2012, 7:38 pm
Press Release: Roy Morgan Research

National (47.5%, up 2%) Increases Lead Over Labour (30%, Down 2.5%)

Finding No. 4807 - This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 1,098 electors from July 9-22, 2012. Of all electors surveyed 4.5% (up 0.5%) didn’t name a party.: July 25, 2012

Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a gain in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party 47.5% (up 2% since June 25 — July 8, 2012). Support for Key’s Coalition partners has barely changed with the Maori Party 1% (unchanged), ACT NZ 1% (up 0.5%) and United Future 0.5% (unchanged).

Support for Labour has fallen 2.5% to 30%, Greens are 11% (down 2%), New Zealand First 5.5% (up 1%), Mana Party 0.5% (unchanged), Conservative Party of NZ 3% (this is the first time the New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll has measured support for this new party) and Others 0% (down 3%).

If a National Election were held today today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll suggests an election result would be ‘too close to call’.

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is down 4pts to 113.5, with 50% (down 1.5%) of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to 36.5% (up 2.5%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.

Gary Morgan says:

“Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows National 47.5% (up 2%) with an increasing lead over the main Opposition Labour Party (30.5%, down 2.5%).

“This New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows for the first time support for the Conservative Party of New Zealand (3%). The Conservative Party polled 2.65% at the 2011 New Zealand Election — the fifth highest of any party, although it failed to gain any seats in Parliament. The Conservative Party is more closely aligned to the National Party than the main Opposition Labour Party.”

Electors were asked: “If a New Zealand Election were held today which party would receive your party vote?”

This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 1,098 electors from July 9-22, 2012. Of all electors surveyed 4.5% (up 0.5%) didn’t name a party

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