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National Lead Labour, But Support Falls Lowest Since 2008
NATIONAL (41.5%) LEAD OVER LABOUR (33.5%)
REDUCES AGAIN.
LABOUR/GREENS/ NZ FIRST WOULD WIN AN
ELECTION HELD
NOW
________________________________________
Finding
No. 4831 - This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting
intention was conducted by telephone with a NZ wide
cross-section of 827 electors from September 24 – October
7, 2012. Of all electors surveyed 4% (down 0.5%) didn’t
name a party.: October 10, 2012
Today’s New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows a fall in support for Prime Minister John Key’s National Party to 41.5% (down 2% since September 10-23, 2012) — this is the lowest support for National since John Key won Government at the 2008 New Zealand Election. Support for Key’s Coalition partners has changed with the Maori Party 1.5% (down 1%), ACT NZ 0.5% (unchanged) and United Future 0.5% (up 0.5%).
Support for Labour is 33.5% (up 0.5%);
Greens are 13.5% (up 2%), New Zealand First 6.5% (up 1.5%),
Mana Party 0% (down 1.5%), Conservative Party of NZ 2%
(unchanged) and Others 0.5% (unchanged).
If a
National Election were held today this New Zealand Roy
Morgan Poll says a combined opposition of Labour/ Greens &
New Zealand First would be favoured to form a new
Government.
The latest New
Zealand Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating is down 4pts
to 106 with 44% (down 3.5%) of New Zealanders saying New
Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’ compared to
38% (up 0.5%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the
wrong direction’.
Gary Morgan
says:
“Today’s New
Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows Prime Minister John Key’s
National (41.5%, down 2%) falling further behind a combined
Opposition of Labour (33.5%, up 0.5%); Greens (13.5%, up 2%)
and New Zealand First (6.5%, up 1.5%). A total of 53.5% (up
4%).
“This is the highest share of the vote held by these three Opposition parties for six years since October 2-15, 2006 (53.5%) when Labour was in Government in coalition with NZ First.
“Also concerning for Key will be second
straight fall in the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating
— now at 106 (down 4pts) — and at its lowest since
Key’s election in November 2008 with only 44% (down 3.5%)
of New Zealanders saying New Zealand is ‘heading in the
right direction’.”
Electors were asked:
“If a New Zealand Election were held today which party
would receive your party vote?”
This latest New
Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by
telephone with a NZ wide cross-section of 827 electors from
September 24 — October 7, 2012. Of all electors surveyed
4% (down 0.5%) didn’t name a party.
Full Tables & Details:
http://www.roymorgan.com/news/polls/2012/4831
:
Roy Morgan Research
New Zealand's leading social and market research company
A full service research organisation specialising in omnibus and syndicated data, Roy Morgan Research has over 70 years' experience in collecting objective, independent information on consumers. Roy Morgan Research was set up in New Zealand in the 1990s and has been collecting information across a wide range of industries in New Zealand ever since. Roy Morgan currently has over 10 years of trended data on a geographically and demographically representative sample of over 12,000 New Zealanders aged 14+.
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