The Nation: John Key
On The Nation: Lloyd Burr interviews John
Key
Youtube clips from the show are
available here.
Headlines:
Prime
Minister reveals freedom camping money in this year’s
Budget, to meet “an infrastructure deficit for the
backpacker end”
Key is “receptive”
to an extradition treaty with China if conditions are right;
says China claims those being hunted, including those in New
Zealand, got their money through “ill-gotten gains”,
including “doing something wrong with state-owned
assets”
Say his
Government is actively pursuing Chinese investment in New
Zealand, especially in
hotels
Key’s view of
the Chinese economy is “on the optimistic side”,
pointing to growing “demand on the consumer side for what
we’re
selling”
From
deals with Alibaba's Jack Ma, to deals for 10,000 Amway
salespeople, John Key's returned home from China with a
string of notches on his trading
belt.
It's all part, he
says, of cementing New Zealand as a "long-term player"
there.
But that strategy
also raised questions, notably about New Zealand's careful
position on the South China Sea and a possible extradition
treaty with a country not known for its gentle
justice.
Newshub Political
Reporter Lloyd Burr was travelling with the Prime Minister
and when he sat down with him in Xi’an, started by asking
how worried he is about China's economy hitting a Great
Wall...
John Key: We can see issues
in the Chinese economy, particularly around some of the
loans they’ve got, some of the regional banks and some of
the lending overall, but we tend to be on the slightly more
optimistic side. I mean, the Chinese leadership have been
telling us they expect to grow at about 6.5%. They grew at
6.7% for the first quarter. And we certainly still continue
to see, as I say, demand on the consumer side for what
we’re selling, so, look, let’s wait and see, but in the
best assessment we’ve got, it’s still tracking along
reasonably okay.
Lloyd Burr: That downturn
must be worrying, especially since the high in 2014, and
when President Xi came to visit in New Zealand, he said, I
think his quote was, ‘There’s more Chinese demand than
you can possibly supply,’ but that sort of hasn’t run
true, has it?
Well, no, I think
he’s actually right if you think about the fact they’ve
probably got about two or three hundred million
middle-income consumers. They have 1.4 billion people, and
the big challenge for the Chinese administration is to take
that billion-plus people out of very low levels of income
and put them into middle-income consumers. That will happen.
The question is just how long it takes to
happen.
One thing that sort of caught my
attention, especially with the signings yesterday, is that
Fonterra and the like of these big companies are doing joint
ventures with Chinese companies. So if we’re teaching
Chinese farmers how to make milk just like we do, in an
efficient way, isn’t that bad for our economy? It means
that the Chinese people can make their own
milk.
No, I don’t think so.
Firstly, one of the big issues that always get raised with
the Chinese leadership is that Chinese consumers don’t
trust their own products. So as much as they’re improving
and getting better, the Chinese consumers have a very long
memory when it comes to things like the melamine crisis that
was here and other issues that they’ve got in their food
chain. So there probably isn’t a week that goes by when
there isn’t a particular issue in one sector or another
when it comes to food safety and security, some sort of
scandal, some issue. So they put a very high premium on
buying a New Zealand-sourced product. It’s one of the
reasons why you’re seeing companies like Yili and Yashili
actually moving operations to New Zealand, sourcing their
milk from Fonterra and being able to have a New
Zealand-branded product under their own label coming back
into China. So I think there’s two different markets.
There’s the sort of less affluent consumer. They’re
probably going to buy Chinese milk, and that may well be
milk that New Zealand helps in terms of the production of.
Then there’s the middle-income base. They’re always
going to gravitate towards the New Zealand product or,
indeed, an international product because of the safety, I
think.
It’s not just dairy that you’re
pushing here, isn’t it? You put on your other hat, your
tourism hat. China’s a huge source of tourism for New
Zealand, and you want to increase it. How many do you want?
How many Chinese tourists do you want in New
Zealand?
What we want fundamentally
is the value play rather than the volume play. I think the
numbers are going to dramatically grow, but I think
they’re going to grow because Chinese are travelling a lot
more themselves.
Can you give us a
number?
Well, there are a hundred
million trips this year. The Chinese president said at a
meeting I was at a year or so ago that they thought it would
be 400 million within five years. If you just extrapolated
the numbers, you’ve got to think that there’s every
chance a million Chinese visitors will come to New Zealand
within the next five years. The question for us is whether
we have the capacity to accommodate them, and that will
require us to build more infrastructure, particularly around
hotels.
And that’s the tough bit now,
isn’t it? Because a few weeks ago on The Nation, you
talked about how there were no places for our Chinese
visitors to stay, and is there going to be something in the
Budget, I guess, for this so-called infrastructural
crisis?
There will be in terms of
around freedom camping, so there’s an infrastructure
deficit for the backpacker end, where people are staying out
there, not necessarily staying in a motel or holiday park,
and that’s a real issue for local councils. On the broader
issue of people staying in hotels, Government’s not
intending to get involved in that, but we can actually make
a difference in terms of actively encouraging that
investment in New Zealand. We’re doing
that.
Let’s quickly talk about Project
Palace from the Trade and Enterprise New Zealand. They’re
encouraging joint ventures, aren’t they, like the Hyatt
that you turned the first sod
of?
Yeah, the Fu Wah
Group.
Yeah, how important is that? Is that
something that you’re actively encouraging Chinese
investors to come and invest in infrastructure like
that?
We are. There’s a lot of, I
think, misnomers about foreign investment. New Zealand has
relied on foreign investment for a very long period of time.
Without it, we have to accept we’re going to grow as a
country at a lower rate. I think what a lot of New
Zealanders would say is they quite welcome foreign
investment, but they want to see it creating jobs and more
capacity for our economy, not just gobbling up
farmland.
Can we quickly just talk about
extraditions?
Yeah.
In
your decision with President Xi Jingping, you talked about
the number of fugitives – Chinese fugitives – around as
many 60 in New Zealand. Are they
dangerous?
No, I don’t think
they’re dangerous. I think they’re people that have come
to New Zealand. They’ve gone all around the world, by the
way, and the Chinese have put out a list, I think, of the
top 100 names of which there are one or two, I think, that
are in New Zealand. And they’re people that the Chinese
government would maintain have got their money through
ill-gotten gains, so in some way doing something wrong with
state-owned assets or whatever it might be. From New
Zealand’s point of view, we don’t want to harbour people
if that’s true, if they’ve undertaken criminal activity
to get their resources. So we’re happy to look at
extradition, and, in fact, we don’t need an extradition
treaty to do that. We can do that on an individual basis.
They would have to meet the conditions that they’ve met
with the Korean individual that we’re looking to
extradite, and that is they can’t be subjected to the
death penalty if they’re sent back here. But I think what
the Chinese government really is trying to do is send a
message to its people that you can’t just steal money from
the Chinese authorities and the SOEs and then hide out in a
country like New Zealand.
So that money that
they’ve stolen from the Chinese government, have they
invested it in New Zealand? Are they buying up property or
investing in businesses and things like that? Because you
must know if you’ve got the names of those
fugitives.
Well, I think one of the
points to make is that that’s the allegation from the
Chinese authorities. If they can put up an individual case
about an individual person, then we can look at the merits
of that argument. And if the merits of that argument can
withstand the process they have to go through, and at the
moment that’s through the Minister of Justice and
potentially the courts, then of course we’re happy to look
at extradition. So they are ultimately claims that are made.
Whether they’re right or not, the onus is really on the
Chinese government to prove the validity of those
claims.
An extradition deal – how far away
would that be if that all does get
moving?
It’s years, not months,
away, but it is something we are receptive to if we can fit
within the conditions we think are
realistic.
Cool. Time’s up, Prime
Minister.
Okay.
Thank
you very
much.
Thanks.
Appreciate
it.
No
problem.
Cheers.
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