Auckland Poised For Pre-Christmas Shopping Spree As Retail Spending Lifts
Worldline data shows Kiwi consumer spending picked up in October despite COVID-19 influences
COVID-19 lockdown
factors continued to heavily influence the spending patterns
of Kiwi consumers in October, according to New Zealand
spending data released by Worldline today – but with
Auckland now set to move to Level 3 Step 2 next week when
retails stores are allowed to open, the city looks poised
for a deluge of pre-Christmas spending in
November.
Worldline’s data shows consumers in Auckland/Northland – and now Waikato – spent well below levels recorded in October a year ago, while the rest of the country – most of which is at Level 2 – experienced a moderate sales lift amongst Core Retail merchants. Pockets of low activity remained in all regions amongst sectors both within (eg. Accommodation providers) and outside (eg. Travel companies) the Core Retail sector.
Spending in Waikato dropped sharply following the early month shift to Lockdown Level 3 for many in the region, and by the end of the month the rate of spending decline was running similar to that of Auckland/Northland. Elsewhere in New Zealand, spending generally increased during October.
Figure 1: All Cards spending through Worldline for core retail merchants in Sep and Oct 2021 versus the days in 2020 (* Underlying change excludes large clients moving to or from Worldline)
While there is clearly a difference in rate of change, there are also interactions between the regions and sectors and the day of the week. Spending in the restricted regions during the traditional workdays was below year-ago levels (when the country was in either Level 2 or Level 1 conditions) but then fell away even sharper on weekends and Labour Day, an effect most noticeable amongst a combined group of Hardware, Furniture and Appliance merchants.
In contrast, spending on household items in the Level 2 regions increased strongly on weekdays, and was even stronger on the weekends, including Labour weekend.
Another contrast was amongst Clothing and Footwear merchants, where spending in Level 2 regions was about the same as last year (down just 1.7%), but up on Sundays, while spending on Clothing and Footwear in Auckland/Northland was down strongly every day of the week, averaging -81.2% for the month (a similar pattern was shown by Auckland/Northland Beauty and Hairdressing merchants, down 85.3%).
Worldline’s new Head of Data, George Putnam, himself an Auckland resident, says that with the region now preparing to move to an Alert Level where retail stores can open with safety measures in place, the floodgates of Auckland consumer spending are set to open wide and surge, following the trends seen in Level 2 regions.
“After nearly 80 days in lockdown, Aucklanders will no doubt have long shopping lists on their fridges – not to mention disheveled hair and fraying clothes – so will be readying to open their wallets to catch-up on nearly three months of limited spending options,” he says.
“Add to this the traditional busy lead up to Christmas across all regions, which will likely be even busier this year with restrictions easing, and we’ll typically see the volume of transactions picking up mid-November and reach an early frenzy at the end of the month during the Black Friday and Cyber Monday sales. Then there will likely be an even more intense end to pre-Christmas trading on the Thursday and Friday before Christmas Day – all of which will no doubt be a welcome change for retail businesses and consumers alike.”
Spending through Worldline by Core Retail merchants in Auckland/Northland in October 2021 was 27.8% below spending last year and 22.3% below spending in October 2019. While low, this is an improvement of the 38% annual rate of decline experienced in September.
Elsewhere, the remaining regions saw an uptick in spending, the annual change jumping from -5.3% in September to +3.1% in October. Annual growth amongst regional Core Retail merchants was highest in Wairarapa (+8.1%) and Canterbury (+7.6%), and was lowest in Marlborough (-1.1%), Wellington (+0.7%) and Gisborne (+0.9%) amongst the Level 2 regions.
WORLDLINE All Cards Core Retail underlying* spending October 2021 | |||
Region | Value transactions $millions | Underlying* Annual % change on 2020 | Underlying* Annual % change on 2019 |
Auckland & Northland | $1,062.0 | -27.8% | -22.3% |
Waikato | $242.4 | -19.8% | -9.7% |
Bay of Plenty | $291.7 | 1.2% | 15.8% |
Gisborne | $39.6 | 0.9% | 15.0% |
Taranaki | $86.5 | 1.9% | 17.6% |
Hawke's Bay | $137.0 | 5.2% | 21.0% |
Whanganui | $49.6 | 3.6% | 17.3% |
Palmerston North | $119.9 | 6.5% | 20.7% |
Wairarapa | $48.7 | 8.1% | 26.5% |
Wellington | $402.1 | 0.7% | 10.0% |
Nelson | $80.7 | 4.8% | 13.3% |
Marlborough | $52.6 | -1.1% | 13.4% |
West Coast | $28.2 | 2.4% | 12.3% |
Canterbury | $480.3 | 7.6% | 18.1% |
South Canterbury | $66.1 | 6.6% | 17.3% |
Otago | $216.8 | -2.3% | 0.2% |
Southland | $96.4 | 2.1% | 7.6% |
New Zealand | $3,551.9 | -10.1% | -1.8% |
Figure 2: All Cards NZ spending through Worldline for core retail merchants by region in October 2021 (* Underlying spending excludes large clients moving to or from Worldline)
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Note to editors:
These figures reflect general market trends and should not be taken as a proxy for Worldline‘s market share or company earnings. The figures primarily reflect transactions undertaken within stores but also include some ecommerce transactions. The figures exclude transactions through Worldline undertaken by merchants outside the Core Retail sector (as defined by Statistics NZ).
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