Three Waters Analysis
Local Government Minister Nanaia Mahuta last week said that the Government would legislate in early December to create four new water entities that would take on the water assets currently owned by councils.
So we have a government which has an ideological idea and little practical experience with water delivery making a decision to effectively steal these assets from their rightful owners, “The Ratepayers who paid for them”.
They are going to take the management of those assets from the councils which have decades of experience, suitably qualified staff and local knowledge & information about running three water operations in their areas and transfer that to the four new water entities.
“WHY”?
We have heard the government and their paid puppets (such as Local Government New Zealand) expanding on how the case has been made for change and how it will be the only way that we can get a guarantee of safe drinking water.
Local Government New Zealand (LGNZ) signed a deal with the Government in July, to promote The Three Waters Reform Project. This deal was supported by the government offering funding to allow LGNZ convince their members to agree to the scheme.
The deal with the government which was signed off by the executives of LGNZ without any consultation with the members of LGNZ, in effect, means that LGNZ is being paid by the government to help get a successful outcome in relation to the Three Waters Reform Program.
The government keeps stating that the case for change has been proven but in fact that is in some doubt when you take into account the reports from some influential consulting firms that have analysed the proposal.
The Australian business consultants Farrierswier warned, “The analysis is high-level and directional and should not be relied on to project actual expenditure, revenue and pricing outcomes.”
The engineering consultancy group Beca expressed concerns that it may underestimate the cost of reforms.
The economic advisors Castalia, warned, “The Government’s policy process appears flawed and is focusing on high-risk options that may not deliver benefits.”
Yet the Minister is still adamant that the project will go ahead.
We have been told for many months that one of the major advantages for the reform is to allow the water supplier to borrow up to $180 billion which councils could not do.
We have been informed that the reason the water suppliers can borrow up to 8.5 times revenue against the commercial sector’s 1.5 is that the Government – that’s you, the tax payer – will under write their debt. (Good luck with that!)
The transfer or confiscation from many councils of up to 30% of their total assets for an 8 cents in the dollar payment is not commercially acceptable and feels reckless.
The borrowing of up to $180 billion by the new proposed entities using the assets confiscated from our councils and people and paid for by generations of New Zealanders as security feels reckless.
Minister Mahuta stated that the new water entities would remain in public ownership, and this was a “bottom line” for the Government.
But it is a fact that if one has no rights in relation to a thing — e.g., no right to use it, to enjoy it, to gain a return from it, to dispose of it, to destroy it, to control it or to control its use — one does not own that thing and this proposal strips local authorities of all the rights of ownership which proves that this claim of ownership is blatantly untrue.
It is no more than PR “spin” on a grand scale trying to protect the government’s image.
Minister Mahuta also said that the overhaul of water assets could create between 6000 to 9000 jobs, and boost the economy by $14 billion to $23b.
So although the Minister has said that this reform will not cost the ratepayers and in fact will save them money on the future costs likely if the reform was not done, she has also stated that this reform is going to create 6000 to 9000 jobs and boost the economy by $14 Billion to $23B.
All of that cost will be paid by the users of the water, the ratepayers who already own the assets. They will be required to fund the extra jobs and the boost to the economy through their water bills but they will not face any extra increase in costs. “YEAH RIGHT”
Where is this government’s connection to reality?
One example that has been given, based on existing rates demands (from the Westland Council) shows that under the new system of control using the government’s figures, through the Three Waters model that costs for all three waters services will rise by approximately 37%.
Given the facts as set out above and using the government’s own statements, let’s look at what is going to change as a result of the Three Waters Reform Project.
Government statements:
- The ownership will remain with councils.
- Without the reforms we will not have adequate drinking water.
- Councils won’t be able to fund development and upgrades in the future.
- Councils will receive payment for the assets.
- Costs will be lower under the new water entities.
- There will be a large number of jobs created under the reforms (6000 to 9000).
- There will be a huge boost to the economy ($14 billion to $23 billion).
True Facts behind those statements:
Public ownership will be a “bottom line” for the Government.
Fact: If one has no rights in relation to a thing — e.g., no right to use it, to enjoy it, to gain a return from it, to dispose of it, to destroy it, to control it or to control its use — one does not own that thing and this proposal strips local authorities of all the rights of ownership which proves that this claim of ownership is blatantly untrue.
Without the reforms we will not have adequate drinking water.
Fact: Whether the reforms go ahead in their current proposed format or not, the problems around guarantee of adequate safe drinking water supply do not change. The only difference between the status quo and the reform model is around funding.
Councils won’t be able to fund development and upgrades in the future.
Fact: As in the answer above the only difference between the status quo and the reform model is around funding. We have been informed that the reason the water suppliers can borrow up to 8.5 times revenue against the commercial sector’s 1.5 is that the Government – that’s you, the tax payer – will under write their debt. This statement just confirms my contention that the only problem is around funding and also shows that the answer is a government guarantee against default. If the government was to give the same guarantee to the councils then the funding issue is no longer an impediment to development or maintenance of the three waters assets and there is no absolute need to use the proposed model for management of the assets.
Councils will receive payment for the assets.
Fact: The Reform model gives a return to the councils of approximately 8 cents in the dollar on the current valuation of what will amount to up to 30% of their total assets. A totally unacceptable reality for any council, and their ratepayers, as a return on their investment in the assets over many generations.
Costs will be lower under the new water entities; there will be a large number of jobs created under the reforms (6000 to 9000); there will be a huge boost to the economy ($14 billion to $23 billion).
Fact: The three statements above are all interlinked and need to be addressed as one. If the reform model is to be implemented then the water entities so created will be required to at the least be self-funding and therefore will need to make a profit on their basic operations.
If the large increase in jobs that the government is predicting and the huge boost to the economy are both going to be over and above the current council model then there will be huge extra costs involved and the only place that the new water entities can get the money to pay these costs will be to raise the charges being levied on the ratepayers for the three waters services.
If they are to be part of a similar model to the current council structure then they are just obfuscation/PR spin on a grand scale and need to be ignored.
The only figures that have been published to date to show an example of what the result of the proposed funding scales will be are those published by the Westland Council Mayor. When the proposed scale of charges under the Three Waters Reform model were compared to the current charges paid by Westland ratepayers they showed that there would be a 37% rise in direct costs to the ratepayers of Westland.
So what will actually change?
Analysis of this proposal and of the government statements put out in support of this reform show that the main changes as a result of this proposal will be the creation of four large centralised entities to control the management of the three waters assets and services; the removal of any local representation with total control effectively being granted to Iwi through the 50-50 make-up of the management boards (50% Maori and 50% other races) combined with the requirement for a 75 % majority for decision making.
There is also a requirement for the water entities proposed Boards of management to be adequately competent both as a Treaty partner, and with expertise in accessing matauranga Maori, tikanga Maori and Te Ao Maori knowledge to inform the water entities activities
Given all of the above there can be no compelling reason for the indecent haste with which this proposal is being pushed through government.
In fact given that 43 of the 67 councils affected by the proposal have rejected it and that the main opposition parties (National & Act) have stated publically that they will repeal any legislation passed to enable this reform project to go ahead, there is every reason to think that the government should slow down and genuinely consult with the ratepayers of New Zealand.
Maybe hold a binding national referendum on whether it should proceed or not!
As a final note, governments come and go, poor ideology driven direction can be reversed and the power is with the people – and that’s you and your family as New Zealanders.
Make your power count and contact your local MP to reject this theft of your assets.