Cablegate: Daily Summary of Japanese Press 01//07

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UNCLAS SECTION 01 OF 09 TOKYO 000005

SIPDIS

SIPDIS

DEPT FOR E, P, EB, EAP/J, EAP/P, EAP/PD, PA
WHITE HOUSE/NSC/NEC; JUSTICE FOR STU CHEMTOB IN ANTI-TRUST DIVISION;
TREASURY/OASIA/IMI/JAPAN; DEPT PASS USTR/PUBLIC AFFAIRS OFFICE;
SECDEF FOR JCS-J-5/JAPAN,
DASD/ISA/EAPR/JAPAN; DEPT PASS ELECTRONICALLY TO USDA
FAS/ITP FOR SCHROETER; PACOM HONOLULU FOR PUBLIC DIPLOMACY ADVISOR;
CINCPAC FLT/PA/ COMNAVFORJAPAN/PA.

E.O. 12958: N/A
TAGS: OIIP KMDR KPAO PGOV PINR ECON ELAB JA
SUBJECT: DAILY SUMMARY OF JAPANESE PRESS 01//07

INDEX:

(1) Prime Minister Abe to drop report approving female on the
Imperial throne, as debate resumes on amending Imperial Household
Law 2

(2) Government, ruling coalition mulling a children's ministry to
address dropping birthrate, bullying 3

(3) Futenma relocation: Central government to present as early as
next month application for agreement to carry out water survey;
Prefecture takes flexible stance toward speeding up work 3

(4) GSDF to establish 70-strong Overseas Intelligence Corps 4

(5) US Consul General Maher: "We are not prepared to enter new
negotiations" on revising V-shaped runway (planned for Camp Schwab),
but shortening the construction period is welcomed 5

(6) Secretary of Agriculture Minister Matsuoka inquired about NPO
screening, Cabinet Office record reveals, contradicting statement
made by the minister 5

(7) Japan, Germany to cooperate in environment technology to reduce
C02 in growing economies, such as China, India 6

(8) 218 candidates expected to run in the Upper House election,
according to a Yomiuri survey as of Dec. 31; Ruling and opposition
camps to go all-out to garner a majority of seats 7

(9) TOP HEADLINES 8

(10) EDITORIALS 9

ARTICLES:

(1) Prime Minister Abe to drop report approving female on the
Imperial throne, as debate resumes on amending Imperial Household
Law

SANKEI (Top play) (Full)
January 3, 2007

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe has decided to discard a report presented
in 2005 by the Experts' Council on the Imperial Household Law
(chaired by former Tokyo University President Hiroyuki Yoshikawa)
that approved female members of the Imperial family members
ascending the throne in order to preserve the system that recognizes
the emperor as a symbol of the state. This decision came because the
precondition for the f the panel's report changed with the birth of
Prince Hisahito, the first son of Prince Akishino and his wife --
the first son in nearly four decades born into the Imperial family.
Yet, the question of whether imperial succession will continue
without interruption remains to be seen. Debate in the government on
how to continue the system of male heirs succeeding to the throne
will soon start, with the possibility of the Imperial Household Law
being amended or a special measures law enacted

Male succession to the throne has continued for 125 generations
without exception down to the current emperor. The existing Imperial
Household Law's Article 1 stipulates: "The throne shall be assumed
by males in the male line." However, in November 2005, the Experts'
Council, an advisory panel to the prime minister, produced a report

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allowing females to succeed to the throne. Based on the report, the
government intended to submit a bill amending the Imperial Household
Law, but last February, when it became known that Princess Kiko, the
wife of Princess Akishino, was pregnant, the government dropped the
idea of submitting the bill.

Abe commented on the report on a Fuji-TV talk show last September
when he was serving as chief cabinet secretary: "Isn't it only
natural to be cautious about changing the long traditions of the
male-only succession system?" As measures to preserve male
succession, Abe cited such possibilities as allowing former princes
whose names had been removed from the Imperial family register at
the request of the General Headquarters (GHQ) in 1947 to be restored
to the register and also continuing the existing the houses of the
princes.

The Imperial Household Law, however, does not allow former imperial
family members to get their names again into the imperial family
register nor it allows any imperial family members to adopt
children. The birth of Prince Hisahito, who is third in line to the
imperial throne following the Crown Prince and Prince Akishino, is
of help to ensure the survival of the imperial household system, but
this does not mean to ensure stable imperial succession in the
future, so revising the law in some way or other is still
necessary.

In last September, when he served as chief cabinet secretary, Abe in
this context told a press conference: "I think it necessary to
discuss the Imperial Household Law, including the option of
reviewing the law, for the sake of stable imperial succession."
Following Abe, Deputy Chief Cabinet Secretary Hakubun Shimomura
announced at a gathering in September celebrating the birth of
Prince Hisahito: "It's an important time (for the government) to
think about whether to revise the law."

The Experts' Council, which came up with the idea of allowing those
in the maternal line to ascend to the throne, still exists
officially. The prime minister intends to replace some of the
council members or add changes to the council or dismantle it.

(2) Government, ruling coalition mulling a children's ministry to
address dropping birthrate, bullying

TOKYO SHIMBUN (Page 1) (Abridged slightly)
January 3, 2007

An idea of establishing a children's ministry has surfaced in the
government and the ruling coalition to let the new ministry
exclusively implement measures to address the declining birthrate by
eliminating cross-agency sectional barriers. In his policy speech at
the outset of the next regular Diet session scheduled to open on
Jan. 25, Prime Minister Shinzo Abe intends to express his cabinet's
determination to make every effort to stop the country's dropping
birthrate. The children's ministry plan is likely to take shape as
its showcase.

The envisioned children's ministry will be responsible for
overseeing: (1) the childrearing support taxation system, (2)
efforts to reduce the number of children waiting to enter daycare
centers due to a shortage of facilities, and (3) women's efforts to
reenter the workforce. The government and the ruling coalition also
envision expanding the ministry's scope of responsibilities to
include measures to defend children from child abuse and bullying.

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Policies related to children have not progressed smoothly because
they have straddled a number of government agencies, including the
Health, Labor, and Welfare Ministry and the Education, Science, and
Technology Ministry. The children's ministry plan is designed to
eliminate such harmful effects.

In the case of Germany, the Family Ministry exclusively handles
measures against the dropping birthrate and children's policy, and
in Norway, those responsibilities fall under the Children and
Equality Ministry. South Korea also established the Gender Equality
and Family Ministry in 2005.

In Japan, the major opposition Minshuto (Democratic Party of Japan)
proposed the children and family ministry in its manifesto (campaign
ledges) for the 2004 Upper House election.

(3) Futenma relocation: Central government to present as early as
next month application for agreement to carry out water survey;
Prefecture takes flexible stance toward speeding up work

OKINAWA TIMES (Top play) (Excerpts)
January 3, 2007

In connection with the environmental impact-assessment procedures
that accompany the construction of an alternate facility for MCAS
Futenma on the shores of Camp Schwab in Nago City, the Naha Defense
Facilities Administration Bureau (DFAB) has firmed up its intention
as of Dec. 31, 2006, to present to the prefectural government as
early as February a "letter for consultations on the use of public
property," in order to attain the agreement of the prefectural
governor that is needed for carrying out a survey of environmental
conditions in waters (of the prefecture). This is the first step in
procedures leading to construction (of a facility) in waters (off
Camp Schwab). With prefecture having firmed up its intention to
concur with the relocation to the shoreline of Camp Schwab
conditioned on revision of the government plan (V-shaped runway),
DFAB has taken a stance of accelerating the relocation effort.

The Defense Agency (JDA) has indicated its intention to shorten the
construction period, including the environmental assessment. The
prefecture, too, seems to be seeking a simplification of agreement
procedures and the like. A top official in the prefectural
government showed a flexible stance about expediting the handling of
the procedure, saying, "Once agreement is reached on the revision
(of the V-shaped runway plan), there will be no problem," but
opposition can be expected from environmental groups and others.

(4) GSDF to establish 70-strong Overseas Intelligence Corps

YOMIURI (Page 1) (Abridged slightly)
December 31, 2006

The Ground Self-Defense Force has decided to integrate its existing
intelligence-related units into a new "Central Intelligence Unit"
during this fiscal year to boost its information-gathering and
information-processing capabilities.

The unit, which is likely to have about 600 personnel, is expected
to have its first-ever human intelligence (humint) corps to engage
in gathering information from local people when dispatched abroad.

The 70-strong corps, tentatively called the "Overseas Intelligence

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Corps," is expected to secure "cooperatives" abroad and conduct
other high-level intelligence activities.

Furthermore, the GSDF plans to create a new category of SDF
specialists who will engage in intelligence activities, in addition
to the existing engineer, signal, and other specialists, in fiscal
2009.

Although the SDF has the Defense Intelligence Headquarters for
intelligence activities, it has no unit engaged in intelligence
gathering through people.

The headquarters, established in 1997 by integrating parts of the
intelligence departments of the three branches of the SDF -- Ground,
Maritime and Air -- focuses on gathering intelligence through
satellite images and radio signals. It also analyzes military
affairs of foreign countries.

The GSDF's information protection corps, another
intelligence-related corps, is chiefly designed to prevent its vital
intelligence from being compromised.

As the SDF has increased activities abroad, SDF members have become
more vulnerable to terrorist attacks, requiring the SDF to devise
higher levels of information gathering and analysis abroad.

The envisioned Central Intelligence Unit will integrate two GSDF
units engaged in analyzing publications from foreign countries and
in gathering and analyzing the topographies of Japan and foreign
countries, respectively.

Its subunit, the Overseas Intelligence Corps, is expected to join
advance teams to be dispatched abroad as a precursor to SDF
activities similar to the current mission supporting Iraq's
reconstruction. It will then gather information from people there.

Meanwhile, the team of intelligence specialists to be created at the
end of fiscal 2009 will be selected from GSDF personnel who excel in
foreign languages, communications, and data processing, and will go
through special training.

The GSDF plans to appoint 1,300 senior officers - second lieutenant
or above - and 1,900 sergeants and privates as intelligence
specialists from among about 150,000 GSDF personnel by fiscal 2014.

Kensuke Ebata, a leading military affairs critic, hailed the GSDF's
move, saying:

"The United States and European nations place importance on humint.
I have the impression that the SDF has finally moved toward creating
such a unit as it faces more overseas activities. As the SDF can't
launch attacks by itself, it would be more helpful to work on
information than to have 100 members work as guards."

(5) US Consul General Maher: "We are not prepared to enter new
negotiations" on revising V-shaped runway (planned for Camp Schwab),
but shortening the construction period is welcomed

RYUKYU SHIMPO (Page 2) (Full)
December 31, 2006

In connection with the issue of relocating Futenma Air Station,
Defense Agency (JDA) Director General Fumio Kyuma has indicated the

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agency is considering revising the relocation plan, and Okinawa
Governor Hirokazu Nakaima has hinted that he would agree to a
revision of the V-shaped runway construction plan. In response, US
Consul General Kevin Maher said that the US has not received any
proposal from the Japanese government to revise the construction
plan, and he took a negative view about considering such a revised
proposal, saying, "If there is a need to rewrite the master plan
(for the alternate airfield on which Japan and the United States
reached agreement on Dec. 4), we wasted a year. We are not prepared
to negotiate a new one; we should go ahead and implement the
construction plan that the US and Japan agreed on." On the view of
Governor Nakaima to close the base in three years, Maher deemed such
impractical.

On the other hand, regarding shortening the construction period,
which JDA is now considering, Maher stated: "The US, which watched
10 years go by since the agreement on reversion, has been seeking an
early relocation, so speeding up construction is desirable." He
indicated that he welcomed the proposal to speed up the timetable
until completion that now sets 2014 as the date according to the
roadmap in the agreement on realignment of US forces in Japan.

He also praised the Japanese government's handling of construction
efforts to date, saying, "The drafting of the master plan and such
steps as the cultural property survey and environmental impact
assessment are proceeding smoothly." Regarding Governor Nakaima's
advocating that Futenma Air Station be in "a state of closure" in
three years, the consul general stated: "Having the store open but
closed to business (as the governor advocates) means the base will
not function. Futenma Air Station must be able to function. It would
be better not to harbor impractical expectations."

(6) Secretary of Agriculture Minister Matsuoka inquired about NPO
screening, Cabinet Office record reveals, contradicting statement
made by the minister

ASAHI (Top play) (Excerpt)
January 1, 2007

This newspaper has learned from an internal document written by the
Cabinet Office that there had been an inquiry from the secretary of
Agriculture Minister Toshikatsu Matsuoka about the state of play of
an application for NPO legal status by WBEF, a group related to the
Fukuoka City-based asset-use consulting firm that is being
investigated by Fukuoka police on suspicion of violation of the
Financing Law. The document is also in the possession of the Fukuoka
police. Farm Minister Matsuoka held a news conference in Sept. 2006
to answer allegations that he has received 1 million yen from WBEF
through sale of party tickets, insisted, as did his office, "I have
never had any connection with anyone related to that organization."
But from the contents of the document, his explanation differs from
the official facts.

Asahi Shimbun sought a confirmation of the facts from the Matsuoka
side but there has been no reply.

(7) Japan, Germany to cooperate in environment technology to reduce
C02 in growing economies, such as China, India

TOKYO SHIMBUN (Top play) (Abridged slightly)
January 3, 2007

Koki Miura, Berlin

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The German government decided on Jan. 2 to work more closely with
Japan in conducting research and developing the technology that
would allow the reduction of the emission of carbon dioxide (CO2) in
such emerging economies as China and India as part of their efforts
to counter the global warming trend. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and
Chancellor Angela Merkel will unveil the plan in their summit
meeting on Jan. 10 in Berlin, German Environment Minister Sigmar
Gabriel revealed this initiative to the Tokyo Shimbun. The two
governments intend to urge China and other countries to cooperate in
a new greenhouse-gas reduction framework that would be a follow on
to the Kyoto Protocol. Germany is eyeing a joint project with Japan,
as well.

Germany will chair the G8 summit in 2007 and be the head of the
European Union in the first half of 2007. Environment Minister
Gabriel highlighted the importance of cooperation with Japan,
stating: "Supporting the green and sustainable energy policies of
growing economies, such as China and India, is an essential target
for a country chairing the EU and G8. Japan is an important partner
which could make or break our target's success."

Gabriel presented the idea of Germany and Japan developing
energy-saving technology in third countries, saying, "The two
countries will have ample chances in the technology to detach
economic growth from energy consumption." The environment minister
also expressed a positive stance about joint research with Japan,
noting, "Active academic exchanges is one way to enhance cooperation
between the two countries." The development of environmental
technology by Japan and Germany would definitely be discussed at the
Jan. 10 Abe-Merkel summit, according to Gabriel, who also noted,
"Germany and Japan have long known for their commitment to
environment policy."

(Commentary)

Germany's move to join efforts with Japan to help China, India, and
other growing economies reduce CO2 emissions comes from a sense of
alarm that the Kyoto Protocol governing a framework to prevent
global warming will collapse unless those countries cooperate.

Under the Kyoto Protocol obligating the concerned parties to reduce
emissions by 2012, an effort is underway to create a new framework
that would start in 2013. The main focus of attention is how to
handle China, which is not required to reduce emissions now but is
expected to overtake the United States as early as 2009 in terms of
the amount of gaseous emissions. In a meeting of the Parties to
Kyoto Protocol, held last November, China locked horns with
industrialized countries that demanded China fulfill its fair share
of responsibility.

This was followed by a visit to China in December by German
Environment Minister Gabriel, who reached an agreement with Beijing
to begin an environmental dialogue with China. Shortly thereafter,
Japan's Economy, Trade, and Industry Minister Akira Amari also
visited China and reached an understanding with Beijing to introduce
Japan's energy-saving technology. Japan and Germany's joint effort
to urge China to reduce emissions has effectively been set in
motion.

Meanwhile, the United States, the largest producer of greenhouse
gases, remains estranged from the Kyoto Protocol. It remains to be
seen whether Japan and Germany will be able to successfully work on

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the US ahead of the G8 Summit to be held in the northern German city
of Heiligendamm in June.

(8) 218 candidates expected to run in the Upper House election,
according to a Yomiuri survey as of Dec. 31; Ruling and opposition
camps to go all-out to garner a majority of seats

YOMIURI (Page 3) (Full)
January 1, 2007

According to a survey conducted by the Yomiuri Shimbun, the number
of candidates expected to run in the 21st Upper House election
reached 218 persons as of Dec. 31. The main focus of attention in
the election -- the first national election for the Abe
administration -- is whether the ruling bloc can retain a majority
of seats. The ruling and opposition parties are both gearing up for
an all-out battle, as this year will see both the Upper House
election and unified local elections for the first time in 12
years.

The number of candidates expected to run in the Upper House election
has reached 218 persons, who can be broken down into two groups: 72
planning to run in the proportional representation blocs (where the
seats up for reelection number 48) and 142 persons in constituencies
(where the seats up for reelection are 73). In part because the
ruling and opposition parties rushed to confirm the number of their
candidates to run in constituencies prior to the unified elections
slated for April and also because they have energetically fielded
their candidates in the proportional representation blocs, the final
number of candidates may reach 300 or so.

The governing Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) suffered an uphill
battle in the Upper House election three years ago, and in 2005,
some LDP members defected from the party over the "postal
privatization" issue. As a result, the number of the LDP's seats up
for grabs in the election is only 46. If the ruling camp fails to
win the Upper House by-elections in Fukushima and Okinawa
constituencies slated for April, they will need to win 65 seats in
the Upper House election in order to retain a majority. If they fail
to do so, Prime Minister Abe's responsibility may be called into
question.

Of the 29 key single-seat constituencies, the major opposition
Democratic Party of Japan (DPJ or Minshuto) has fielded candidates,
including those it recommends or backs up, in 19 such
constituencies.

As a result of reapportionment of the Upper House seats under the
2006 amendment to the Public Office Election Law, a one-seat
reduction occurred in Tochigi and Gunma constituencies, while a
one-seat increase in Tokyo and Chiba constituencies.

The Upper House election is scheduled to occur on July 22 with the
announcement of the election being on July 5 in accordance with the
rules under the Public Office Election Law if the term of the
ordinary session of the Diet is not extended.

LDP's victory or defeat bar is whether it can garner "50 or 52"
seats

The ruling and opposition parties will have a major political
showdown for this year in trying to garner a majority of seats,
including those not up for election. In order to ensure victory in

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single-seat constituencies, which will decide the game, the LDP
envisions a possible replacement of candidates, while the Minshuto
is stepping up the effort to form a united front with (other
opposition parties).

Ruling camp

The ruling bloc, if it garners a majority of seats in the Upper
House election, will be able to build a stable base for the
administration, given that it holds more than two-thirds of the
Lower House seats. But a sense of crisis is mounting in the LDP over
the possibility that the public seems to be moving away from the
LDP, in part a voter backlash against the party's resounding victory
in the 2005 Lower House election and partly because of the sagging
popularity of the Abe cabinet.

The ruling parties can retain a majority of the seats if they garner
65 seats. Assuming that the junior ruling partner New Komeito
retains the seats up for election, 52 seats will be the LDP's
victory or defeat bar. If the LDP wins victories in the Upper House
by-elections in Fukushima and Okinawa constituencies in April, the
win or lose bar will drop to 50.

Single-seat constituencies number 29, the largest figure ever. The
reapportionment of the seats created new single-seat constituencies
in Tochigi and Gunma Prefectures. In the 2001 Upper House election,
the LDP won victories in 25 of the 27 single-seat constituencies,
but in the 2004 Upper House election, the number of such
constituencies the LDP won victories was only 14.

The LDP puts up veterans in single-seat constituencies, but this
gives rise to the concern in the party that if the Minshuto puts up
young candidates in those constituencies, LDP candidates would have
an uphill battle. Prime Minister Abe even eyes the possibility of
replacing those candidates, noting: "We must put up better
candidates." But the LDP's local chapters are opposing such
replacement.

The New Komeito aims to get five candidates it fields in Tokyo,
Saitama, Kanagawa, Aichi, and Osaka constituencies, all elected. In
the proportional representation blocs, the party aims to collect
more than the 8,620,000 votes it gained in the 2004 Upper House
election.

Opposition parties

The Minshuto wants to rock the ruling parties by forcing them to
lose a majority of the seats so that the Lower House election
timetable will be moved up. While the party aims to win 50 seats,
President Ozawa states, "We will build a system of winning victories
in 15 or more or a half of the single-seat constituencies." The
Minshuto has already determined candidates it will recommend or back
up in 19 single-seat constituencies. The party emphasizes the
importance of forming a united front with other opposition parties.
In the Toyama and Akita constituencies, the Minshuto and the minor
opposition Social Democratic Party (SDP) have jointly backed the
same candidates. In Okinawa, the Minshuto aims to form a unified
front with other opposition parties including the Japanese Communist
Party (JCP).

The Minshuto is on the offensive by fielding two candidates in
multiple-seat constituencies, such as Tokyo and Aichi.

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For the JCP, the SDP, and the People's New Party, winning more seats
than the ones they respectively held before the election is their
common goal.

(9) TOP HEADLINES

Asahi:
Mizutani illicitly paid 1.5 billion yen to lawmakers' secretaries
and gangsters to win contract bids for projects at Kansai and Chubu
airports

Mainichi:
Russian vice foreign minister: "Russia settled three controversial
islets with China by dividing them two equal parts"; Japan, Russia
may come up with new formula to settle Northern Territories issue

Yomiuri:
Path to revitalization of Japan (Part 1): Aesthetics adrift

Nihon Keizai:
Buy-out fund exceeding 4 trillion yen cautious about hostile
takeovers

Sankei:
Prime Minister Abe to disregard Imperial House Law panel's
recommendation for matrilineal emperor system

Tokyo Shimbun:
Japan, Germany to cooperate in environment technology to reduce C02
in growing economies, such as China, India

Akahata:
18 LDP, DPJ lawmakers appropriated over 10 million yen each as
"expenses for offices" in Dietmembers' Office Building in 2005

(10) EDITORIALS

Asahi:
(1) Long- and short-term perspective required in determining what
must be passed to future generations

Mainichi:
(1) Theatrical politics no longer needed

Yomiuri:
(1) Map out strategies for international crises

Nihon Keizai:
(1) Management reforms essential by overcoming allergy to foreign
capital

Sankei:
(1) Security of Japan: Time to review exclusively defense-oriented
policy to be fully prepared against North's nuclear threat

Tokyo Shimbun:
(1) New Year's thoughts: Memories of cities must be cherished

Akahata:
(1) Turning point for inhumane economy

DONOVAN

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