CEO Confidence Plummets to New Low
CEO Confidence Plummets to New Low According to
PricewaterhouseCoopers Survey
Depth of the Crisis Impacts All Regions, Sectors
Talent, Over-Regulation Among Top Concerns
DAVOS, Switzerland, Jan. 28, 2009 (GLOBE
NEWSWIRE) -- Battered by
recession, CEOs' confidence
about future prospects for business has
plummeted and
executives expect a slow, gradual recovery over the
next
three years, PricewaterhouseCoopers 12th Annual
Global CEO Survey has
found.
CEO confidence plunged to
its lowest level since 2003, when PwC began
tracking
CEOs' forecasts. Worldwide, just 21 per cent of CEOs said
they
were very confident of revenue growth in the next 12
months, down from
50 per cent in last year's survey. And
more than a quarter of CEOs said
they were pessimistic
about prospects for the coming year. The survey
results
were released today at the World Economic Forum annual
meeting
in Davos, Switzerland.
CEOs worldwide were also
gloomier about longer term growth as well,
predicting a
slow recovery. Only 34 per cent said they were
very
confident of growth over the next three years, down
from 42 per cent
last year, when CEOs were just beginning
to recognise the full impact
of the credit crisis on the
global economy. Illustrating the changing
mood, CEOs
confidence worsened over the course of the surveying
as
negative economic news unfolded.
Pessimism prevailed
across all geographic regions, business sectors
and
levels of economic development, the survey found.
Only 15 per cent of
CEOs in North America and 15 per cent
in Western Europe expressed
confidence about growth
prospects for the next 12 months. This compared
with 21
per cent in the emerging economies of Central and
Eastern
Europe, 31 per cent in Asia Pacific, and 21 per
cent in Latin America.
"The speed and intensity of the
recession has rocked the psyches of
CEOs and created a
global crisis of confidence,"
said
PricewaterhouseCoopers' Global CEO Samuel A.
DiPiazza, Jr. "CEOs are
most concerned about the
immediate survival of their companies. Even in
once
rapidly emerging economies, companies are now coping with
issues
like unavailable credit, sluggish capital markets,
and collapsing
demand.
"The severity and duration of
the recession are difficult to predict
and CEOs are
balancing the challenges of successfully managing
through
the downturn while also remaining prepared for
economic turnaround.
Their prospects for recovery are
truly connected," he added.
The impact of the recession in
the world's major economies, cited by 85
per cent of
survey respondents worldwide, continued to
dominate
concerns of CEOs and was the only risk factor to
increase among CEOs'
concerns. Other major risk factors
included disruption in the capital
markets, cited by 72
per cent, over-regulation, 55 per cent, energy
costs, 50
per cent, and availability of key talent, 46 per
cent.
Further highlights of the survey results:
Banking Crisis Pervasive
CEOs expect the worldwide banking crisis
to have a broad impact on
business, affecting companies
across all geographic regions and
business sectors.
Nearly 70 per cent of CEOs said their companies will
be
affected by the credit crisis. Of those, nearly 80 per cent
said
they faced higher financing costs, and nearly 70 per
cent said they
would delay planned investments as a
result. Companies in the banking,
utilities,
construction, entertainment and automotive sectors are
most
likely to be impacted, CEOs said.
Those CEOs whose
companies were anticipating growth said they would
fund
it primarily thorough internal cash flow, followed by the
debt and
equity markets.
Long-term Factors Remain on the Agenda
Despite the severity of current economic
conditions, CEOs continued to
be concerned with long term
needs. Access to key talent remained a
vital concern;
only 26 per cent said they planned to reduce headcount
in
the coming year, while 35 per cent planned to maintain
staffing
levels.
Moreover, 72 per cent of CEOs
predicted that the pressure on natural
resources will
worsen in the future. Respondents said that dependence
on
carbon-based energy cited by 61 per cent, climate change 56
per
cent, overpopulation 55 per cent, and scarcity of
fresh water. 50 per
cent, will have an impact on
long-term success.
About 75 per cent of respondents said
they are already responding by
developing new products
and services and by making changes to their
operations.
More than half expect to make a return on those
investments
in the next 12 months.
JVs to overtake cross-border M&A Activity
The percentage of CEOs who
believe that Joint Ventures (JVs) will play
a greater
role than M&A in cross-border growth has surged,
particularly
in Western Europe and Latin America. This
may reflect the lower cost
and risk level associated with
JVs, as well as the increasing
popularity of
collaboration to deal with the challenges of cross
border
growth.
However, merger and acquisition activity
has decreased. Only 20 per
cent of respondents said they
had completed such a transaction last
year. The decline
in M&A was most pronounced in emerging economies in
Asia
and Eastern Europe. Cultural differences, unexpected costs
and
delivering deal value were the three most common
concerns of CEOs in
considering M&A.
Energy and Talent Present Challenges
Buffeted by the recession and volatile
commodity and energy costs, CEOs
from all regions of the
world said they were seeking to sustain their
businesses
and prepare for economic rebound. Overall, more than 80
per
cent said they were taking steps to reduce energy
costs by finding
efficiencies in their operations, and
more than half said they were
seeking alternative energy
sources. Companies were also investing in
technology to
reduce energy dependence and trying to secure
future
energy supplies.
Finding and retaining top
talent also remains a major priority for
CEOs. A shortage
of candidates with essential skills was cited as a
key
challenge by nearly 70 per cent of respondents. Other
human resource
concerns included recruiting and
integrating younger employees,
providing attractive
career paths, and competition for talent within
their
sector. CEOs cited strategies such as creating more flexible
work
environments, redeploying key employees and
participation in social
activism as means to overcome
talent challenges.
Better Information Needed to Manage Risk
CEOs recognised a huge gap in the information
required to manage risk,
and fuel long-term success.
While 92 per cent said information about
risk is
important, only 23 per cent said they received
comprehensive
information about it. In addition, just 21
per cent get comprehensive
information about the needs
and preferences of customers and clients.
The 'regulation paradox'
CEOs said they recognise the need to collaborate
with government to
address systemic problems. Yet, while
55 per cent of CEOs remain
concerned about overregulation
as an obstacle to growth, nearly half
also said their
governments have not done enough to create a
skilled
workforce, and 38 per cent said governments could
do more to improve
infrastructure. Likewise, more than 80
per cent of CEOs favoured clear,
consistent government
policies to address climate change, but just 28
per cent
believe that their governments have such policies.
Survey Methodology
For the PricewaterhouseCoopers 12th Annual
Global CEO Survey, 1,124
interviews with CEOs were
conducted in 50 countries during the last
quarter of
2008. The majority of interviews were conducted
by
telephone. The research was coordinated by the
PricewaterhouseCoopers
International Survey Unit,
Belfast, Northern Ireland, in cooperation
with project
managers and a global advisory board of PwC partners.
By
region, 500 interviews were conducted in Europe
(Austria, Belgium,
Czech Republic, Cyprus, Denmark,
Estonia, Finland, France, Germany,
Greece, Hungary,
Italy, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal,
Russia,
Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Turkey, UK, Ukraine),
276 in Asia Pacific
(Australia, China/Hong Kong, India,
Indonesia, Japan, Korea, Malaysia,
Singapore, Taiwan,
Thailand, Vietnam), 168 in Latin America
(Argentina,
Bolivia, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Ecuador,
Mexico, Paraguay, Peru,
Uruguay, Venezuela), 138 in North
America (U.S., Canada), and 42 in the
Middle East and
Africa.
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